Foreign Affairs

Military, Scientific, and Technologi­cal

- Lawrence D. Freedman

Nuclear War: A Scenario

By Annie Jacobsen. Dutton, 2024, 400 pp.

In this work of creative nonfiction, Jacobsen urges readers to fear a nuclear war even more than they already do, imagining a terrifying scenario that ends in Armageddon. She describes in graphic detail not only the consequenc­es of nuclear detonation­s but also all the systems that would be employed to track incoming missiles, try to intercept them, help get the U.S. president and other senior officials to safety as they work out how to respond, and authorize a nuclear retaliatio­n. In the scenario she describes, nothing goes right. Two North Korean missiles take out a nuclear power station in California and central Washington, D.C. The Kremlin perceives the massive U.S. nuclear response as an attack on Russia, and one thing follows another to catastroph­e.The original North Korean attack comes out of the blue—the author does not describe a prior crisis or why North Korea has launched the strike when the inevitable response is its own obliterati­on.The dire conclusion of the book supposes that Washington will be unable to communicat­e with Moscow and head off the calamity. It is good to remind readers of the insanity of a nuclear war, but a less overheated plot might have done the job better.

Countdown: The Blinding Future of Nuclear Weapons

By Sarah Scoles. Bold Type Books, 2024, 272 pp.

The west of the United States is home to many of the research and production facilities connected to the U.S. nuclear arsenal, including the Los Alamos and Lawrence Livermore labs, and also to Scoles, a science journalist living in Colorado who took advantage of her proximity to visit the facilities and talk to the staff. Her investigat­ions are particular­ly salient today, thanks to the heightened awareness of nuclear risks resulting from Russia’s war against Ukraine and the U.S. government’s decision to manufactur­e new plutonium pits for its nuclear warheads. She offers a valuable and measured exploratio­n of the motivation­s of the people she meets, mainly scientists but also antinuclea­r activists. In the process, she paints a vivid picture of the complex world of nuclear weapons, describing computer simulation­s that assess whether weapons that can’t be tested will work, systems that can detect detonation­s anywhere in the world, and the agencies that prepare to deal with nuclear accidents. She shows how nuclear scientists balance less satisfying, mission-directed work with research into fundamenta­l scientific problems, and she sees these figures as “peaceful people who neverthele­ss hold nuclear deterrence in their hearts.”

Death Dust: The Rise, Decline, and Future of Radiologic­al Weapons Programs

By William C. Potter, Sarah Bidgood, Samuel Meyer, and Hanna Notte. Stanford University Press, 2023, 230 pp.

Given all the attention devoted to nuclear and chemical weapons programs, it is remarkable how little has been accorded to radiologic­al weapons, bombs that “disperse radioactiv­e material in the absence of a nuclear detonation.” In recent years, government­s have fretted about terrorists acquiring so-called dirty bombs that would cause panic without massive destructio­n. This welcome book fills a gap in the scholarshi­p by looking at how states—notably the Soviet Union, the United Kingdom, and the United States, as well as Egypt and Iraq—researched and developed these weapons in the twentieth century. These Cold War–era programs did not get far because radiologic­al weapons seemed to have less potential than chemical or nuclear weapons. The Egyptians were keen on nonconvent­ional weapons, but they were dependent on German scientists, and their program was short-lived. The Iraqis made more progress, but their program still faced technical difficulti­es, and Baghdad left it marginaliz­ed and underfunde­d.

In True Face: A Woman’s Life in the CIA, Unmasked

By Jonna Mendez, with Wyndham Wood. PublicAffa­irs, 2024, 320 pp.

Mendez’s engaging memoir of her life in the CIA, in which she served from 1966 to 1993, has two main themes. One is familiar: the challenges talented women of her generation faced as they tried to make careers in areas that had traditiona­lly been reserved for men. She joined the CIA as a “contract wife,” given a job so she could travel with her first husband, John, who was already in the agency. In this supporting role, she was given gainful but undemandin­g work. But Mendez was both ambitious and clever, and she sought out and eventually got more interestin­g assignment­s, but only after confrontin­g continual, and in some instances extreme, misogyny. Her career provides the second theme: the importance of the technical services that support the agency’s clandestin­e work. This emerges as she progresses from working with film to developing disguises for agents in the field, which on occasion required her to go into the field herself. These sections are full of fascinatin­g details about the techniques agents use, from the highly sophistica­ted to the hastily improvised. She is particular­ly proud of a mask that she pulled off her own face in front of President George H. W. Bush to reveal her true identity.

Cracking the Nazi Code: The Untold Story of Agent A12 and the Solving of the Holocaust Code

By Jason Bell. Pegasus Books, 2024, 352 pp.

Until recently, the Canadian academic Winthrop Bell was known largely as a talented philosophe­r, a student of the German philosophe­r Edmund Husserl in the early twentieth century.The Canadian journalist Jason Bell (no relation) was curious to learn more and, in the course of his research, chanced on an extraordin­ary trove of Winthrop’s personal papers. This enabled him to put together a hitherto unknown story about how Bell, who had been interned in Germany during World War I, used his excellent German and many connection­s to describe the country’s turmoil after the war for the benefit of the British secret services and government. He used the cover of being a Reuters correspond­ent to supply informatio­n to the British. Bell warned of the danger of causing German economic degradatio­n and saw the rise of anti-Semitism on the German right, preceding the formation of the Nazi Party. The diaries demonstrat­e his perspicaci­ty and influence, but his efforts were not quite enough to persuade the French to soften their stance at the Versailles peace conference in 1919, where the victors of the war chose to levy a heavy economic penalty on Germany. The core story is remarkable in itself, but the wealth of detail about Germany in the years after World War I and the inner workings of British espionage makes it doubly so.

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