Stocks dip as hopes dim for swift rate cut

NEW YORK – Wall Street slipped Wednesday following another signal that it may have gotten too optimistic about when the Federal Reserve will deliver the cuts to interest rates that traders crave so much.

The S&P 500 fell 26.77 points, or 0.6%, to 4,739.21. It’s the second straight stumble for the index after it closed out its 10th winning week in the last 11 near its all-time high.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average dipped 94.45, or 0.3%, to 37,266.67, and the Nasdaq composite slumped 88.73, or 0.6%, to 14,855.62. The Russell 2000 index of smaller companies fell 14.14 points, or 0.7%, to 1,913.17.

Rising yields in the bond market once again put downward pressure on stocks. Yields climbed after a report showed sales at U.S. retailers were stronger last month than economists expected. While that’s good news for an economy that has defied predictions for a recession, it could also keep upward pressure on inflation.

That in turn could push the Federal Reserve to wait longer than traders expect to begin cutting interest rates after raising them drastically over the last two years. Lower rates would relax the pressure on the economy and financial system, while goosing prices for investments.

The yield on the 10-year Treasury jumped immediately after the retail-sales report and climbed to 4.10% from 4.06% late Tuesday. Higher yields can crimp profits for companies, while also making investors less willing to pay high prices for stocks.

Higher yields hurt all kinds of investments, and high-growth stocks tend to be some of the hardest hit. Drops of 2% for Tesla and 0.9% for Amazon were among the heaviest weights on the S&P 500.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average, meanwhile, has less of an emphasis on tech and high-growth companies. That helped limit its losses relative to the rest of the market.

The yield on the two-year Treasury, which more closely tracks expectations for the Fed, also jumped. It climbed to 4.34% from 4.22% late Tuesday as traders trimmed their expectations for the Fed’s first rate cut to arrive in March. Traders are now betting on a less than 60% probability of that, down from roughly 70% a month earlier, according to data from CME Group.

U.S. Bancorp fell 1.4% after reporting weaker profit than analysts had forecast. Big 5 Sporting Goods fell 8% after saying it expects to report a worse loss for the last three months of 2023 than earlier expected because of weak sales of winter-related products. The company said it was hurt by warmer temperatures and a lack of snowfall in the West.

Charles Schwab reported stronger profit for the latest quarter than analysts expected, but its stock still fell 1.3%. Its revenue fell short of estimates, and analysts said its better-than-expected earnings were likely due in part to easier tax rates.

Gold for February delivery fell $23.70 to $2,006.50 per ounce. Silver for March delivery fell 42 cents to $22.67 per ounce. March copper fell 4 cents to $3.73 per pound.

The dollar rose to 148.28 Japanese yen from 147.25 yen. The euro held steady at $1.0874.