Houston Chronicle Sunday

Merkel: 10 years and no signs of stopping

- By Geir Moulson

BERLIN — Angela Merkel marks her 10th anniversar­y at the helm of Germany on Sunday, becoming only the third post-World War II chancellor to hit that milestone. Over Merkel’s decade in charge, she has presided over Germany’s strong re-emergence on the world scene — showing leadership in the European financial crisis, pioneering the use of renewable energies and embracing a role as a key negotiator in the Ukraine conflict and a moral authority in Europe’s migrant crisis.

At home, the European Union’s most populous country has seen plenty of change, but Merkel has won over voters with an aura of reassuring stability that has earned her the nickname “Mutti” or “mom.” Even amid turbulence over her welcoming attitude toward refugees, there’s little sign of an alternativ­e to Merkel. New assertiven­ess

Under Merkel, Germany has found a new assertiven­ess — at least in economic diplomacy — since the Eurozone debt crisis erupted in Greece. Berlin has been key to designing the response, a combinatio­n of aid in exchange for budget cuts and economic reforms, and has shown determinat­ion in applying it, despite widespread criticism abroad for what many view as a damaging focus on austerity.

Since Merkel’s thirdterm government took office in 2013, Germany also has shown signs of playing a more active diplomatic role — in particular, anchoring the diplomacy-and-sanctions strategy over Russia’s aggression in Ukraine.

Germany remains reluctant to expand its military role abroad, though it remains one of the biggest contributo­rs to NATO’s mission in Afghanista­n and has armed Kurdish fighters in Iraq — a contrast to Germany’s previous reluctance to send weapons into conflicts.

When Merkel took office in 2005, Germany’s unemployme­nt was 11 percent, with more than 4.5 million people out of work. It had peaked a few months earlier at more than 12 percent. Under Merkel, the economy reaped the benefits of the package of welfaresta­te trims and economic reforms that were initiated by center-left predecesso­r Gerhard Schroeder. Merkel hasn’t had to inflict similarly painful reforms of her own on Germans, with the exception of an early move to gradually raise the retirement age from 65 to 67.

Merkel’s government was able to keep the economy largely on track through the 2008-2009 economic crisis, with unemployme­nt kept in check thanks to a government­backed short-term work program.

Strong tax income generated by the healthy economy allowed Merkel to balance the budget, getting by without new borrowing for the first time since 1969 — one of her proudest achievemen­ts. Unemployme­nt stands at 6 percent on Merkel’s 10th anniversar­y, with about 2.6 million registered jobless. Not so conservati­ve

Merkel has been relentless­ly pragmatic, nudging her conservati­ve Christian Democratic Union toward the center.

Electoral math has twice forced her into coalitions with the party’s traditiona­l rivals, the Social Democrats — in her first fouryear term and again since 2013.

That has allowed her to dominate the center ground of German politics. She has irked some supporters with a willingnes­s to sacrifice conservati­ve sacred cows — scrapping military conscripti­on and, most dramatical­ly, abruptly accelerati­ng the shutdown of Germany’s nuclear power plants following meltdowns at Japan’s Fukushima plant in 2011. That move hurt her ratings in the short term but, in the long run, has removed divisive issues from German politics.

It remains to be seen how Merkel’s move to open the door to Syrian refugees flowing into Eu- rope will play out; conservati­ve critics have decried a perceived loss of control and order, and complain that Germany’s capacity to welcome newcomers is exhausted. The future

Merkel hasn’t said whether she will seek a fourth four-year term in 2017, though so far it’s been widely assumed in Germany that she will. By the time of her last victory in 2013, she faced no serious rivals in her own party. The center-left Social Democrats, Germany’s other main party, have struggled for years to get support of much more than 25 percent — more than 10 points short of Merkel’s conservati­ves. Merkel has shown no sign of grooming a successor, and no obvious longterm replacemen­t is in the wings despite misgivings in the conservati­ve ranks over the migrant influx.

Asked a week ago about her future, she again refused to say whether she will seek a fourth term.

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