Houston Chronicle

More than 7 million Americans are behind on their auto loan payments.

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DETROIT — Borrowers are behind in their auto loan payments in numbers not seen since delinquenc­ies peaked at the end of 2010, according to the Federal Reserve Bank of New York.

More than 7 million Americans were 90 or more days behind on their car loans at the end of last year, 1 million more than eight years ago, according to a report from the bank. That’s a potential sign of trouble for the auto industry and perhaps the broader economy.

The New York Fed reported that auto loan delinquenc­y rates slowly have been worsening, even though borrowers with prime credit make up an increasing percentage of the loans. The 90-day delinquenc­y rate at the end of 2018 was 2.4 percent, up from a low of 1.5 percent in 2012, the bank reported. Also, delinquenc­ies by people under 30 are rising sharply, the report said.

But economists and auto industry analysts say they aren’t sounding an alarm. The number is higher largely because there are far more auto loans out there as sales grew since the financial crisis, peaking at 17.5 million in 2016. The $584 billion borrowed to buy new autos last year was the highest in the 19-year history of loan and lease originatio­n data, according to the report.

Other signs point to a strong economy and auto sales that will continue to hover just under 17 million per year for the near term.

“I think it’s a little too soon to say that the sky is falling, but it’s time to look up and double check to make sure nothing is about to hit you on the head,” said Charlie Chesbrough, senior economist for Cox Automotive.

U.S. consumers have about $1.27 trillion worth of auto debt, which is less than 10 percent of the total consumer borrowing tracked by the New York Fed. Mortgages and student loans are larger categories than auto debt.

The jump in unpaid auto loans is a worrying sign for low-income Americans, though not necessaril­y a sign an economic downturn is near.

“The substantia­l and growing number of distressed borrowers suggests that not all Americans have benefited from the strong labor market and warrants continued monitoring and analysis of this sector,” researcher­s at the New York Fed concluded in a blog post.

Analysts say people are reluctant to default on vehicle loans. After all, they need their cars to get to work, pick up children at school and run errands.

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