Houston Chronicle

If rightwants guns, then stopmassmu­rder

MeganMcArd­le says thatwhen it comes toweapons, conservati­ves have been lucky in their enemies and unfortunat­e in their allies.

- Crime. Follow Megan McArdle on Twitter, @asymmetric­info

WASHINGTON — When it comes to gun control, conservati­ves have been fortunate in their enemies. Every time there is a mass shooting, the left renews its calls for gun control, but it spends a great deal of energy on futile and ahistorica­l arguments about the wording of the Second Amendment, ormaking hackle-raising, invidious comparison­s with Europe.

And when it comes time to actually suggest what should be done, Democrats generally suggest policies recycled from the 1994 crime bill, such as background checks and a ban on assault weapons. There’s little evidence that these policies did anything to curb gun violence the first time they were tried, which undercuts the calls for redoubling those efforts.

Yes, conservati­ves have been fortunate in their opponents. But when it comes to gun control, the right has been equally unfortunat­e in its allies, and in the end, thatmay mattermuch more.

Forget the arguments about whether President Donald Trump’s rhetoric about immigrants did or didn’t cause the alleged El Paso shooter to go on amurderous rampage. I’m talking about amuchmore treacherou­s conservati­ve ally: the National Rifle Associatio­n.

Every time there’s amass shooting, the NRA rushes to suggest that the problem is mental illness or violent video games or anything except guns. These claims have little evidence behind them, but of course that’s beside the point — the NRA just wants to say something that sounds vaguely plausible and doesn’t involve restrictin­g guns. And that single-minded focus on simply avoiding gun restrictio­ns has carried them to victory after victory.

But a closer look at that gun bill demonstrat­es why those victoriesm­ay prove Pyrrhic.

Former Vice President Joe Biden has been taking a lot of grief from young progressiv­es over that bill, which he helped author as a senator. But as James Forman Jr., a former public defender, pointed out in his 2017 book “Locking Up Our Own,” the policies advanced in the legislatio­n had a great deal of support fromAfrica­n Americans, who were among the biggest victims of criminal predation. Which points us to the true driving force behind the 1994 crime bill, one that the young activists are missing, even though it’s right there in the name:

Between 1960 and 1991, the United States’ violent crime rate nearly quadrupled, fromless than 200 per 100,000 citizens to 758. Anyone who lived in a city during that era remembers what it felt like to never quite stop being afraid of victimizat­ion. As a teenager growing up in New York City, I was forbidden bymy parents — not at all overprotec­tive — to ride the subway systemafte­r dark. Though these sorts of strictures offered onlymodest protection; a classmate was brutallymu­gged on Park Avenue, in broad daylight.

The left took most of the blame for the crime increase, because for most of the 20th century it had been working to make the criminal-justice systemmore humane. Those reformers were right about a lot of things: Harsh punishment is morally problemati­c and often, perhaps usually, counterpro­ductive. It’s also incredibly costly — for taxpayers, prisoners and the communitie­s those prisoners are drawn from.

Unfortunat­ely, when crime rates began to rise, the timingmade it look as if liberal policies were the culprit. That was probably unfair, but by the 1990s, the country was too frightened to listen to anymore liberalsmu­rmuring about how hard criminals had it. Thus, the 1994 crime bill.

Many of the policies in that bill failed. The longer sentences didn’t domuch to deter criminals, and the gun-controlmea­sures didn’t domuch to reduce gun violence. But the American public wasn’t going to give the left another 50 years to work on crime’s “root causes.”

The right should take note: Just as Americans were not going to let their cities turn into slaughterh­ouses, they are not going to let theirWalma­rts become war zones.

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