Houston Chronicle

Trade dispute is dragging down global demand for energy

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PARIS — The trade war between the United States and China and a broader decline in world economic growth are weakening the demand for oil and pushing prices down, the Internatio­nal Energy Agency said Friday.

The Paris-based agency, which advises many developed countries on energy policies, cut its forecast for oil demand growth this year and next year as trade tensions weigh on activity in energy-hungry manufactur­ing sectors around the world.

The U.S. has put a series of tariffs on Chinese goods, and China has responded by letting its currency drop, increasing uncertaint­y for businesses and exporters worldwide.

“The prospects for a political agreement between China and the United States on trade have worsened. This could lead to reduced trade activity and less oil demand growth,” the agency said in a monthly report on the energy market.

The trade dispute is worsening a downturn in global growth and dragging down demand for energy. The price of crude has fallen, with the internatio­nal benchmark hitting its lowest since January, below $57 a barrel.

The IEA cut its forecast for oil demand growth by 100,000 barrels a day, to 1.1 million barrels a day this year and 1.3 million next year.

It said tensions in the Persian Gulf, where some oil tankers have been attacked amid a diplomatic standoff between the U.S. and Iran in particular, have heightened concerns. But the biggest effect on demand comes from trade disputes and lower growth.

Supply, meanwhile, remains ample despite efforts by some countries, such as Saudi Arabia, to produce less to support the price of oil.

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