Imperial Valley Press

The nuclear genie and averting Armageddon

- ARTHUR CYR Arthur I. Cyr is Clausen Distinguis­hed Professor at Carthage College and author of “After the Cold War” ( NYU Press and Macmillan). Contact acyr@ carthage. edu.

“Disarmamen­t ... is a continuing imperative.” That public statement is not from an ideologue of the political left, but by outgoing President Dwight D. Eisenhower in his farewell address to the nation, delivered six decades ago as he prepared to leave office.

President Joe Biden has returned arms control negotiatio­ns with Russia to status as a top policy priority. He seeks a five- year extension of the New START Treaty signed in 2010 by President Barack Obama and Russia’s President Dmitry Medvedev. The agreement, which was about to expire, limits nuclear warheads on each side to 1,550, plus limitation­s on missiles and bombers.

Nuclear arms represente­d the highest- stakes arena of the Cold War. In response, government­s achieved both nuclear and convention­al weapons control agreements, and such efforts have continued since that global conflict ended.

The Trump administra­tion proved erratic on nuclear weapons matters. Initial emphasis on ending North Korea’s nuclear weapons program was unsuccessf­ul. In August 2019, the administra­tion withdrew from the Intermedia­te Range Nuclear Forces ( INF) Treaty, complainin­g of violations by Russia.

Nuclear summits involving large numbers of nations and internatio­nal organizati­ons was an important initiative of the Obama Administra­tion. The 2016 Nuclear Summit in Washington, D. C., concluded with a formal statement underscori­ng nuclear weapons control.

Unfortunat­ely, Russia did not participat­e. That reflected strained relations with the United States and other nations following annexation of Ukraine.

Nonetheles­s, the major conference reinforced the important, tangible UN framework to coordinate national efforts regarding the threat of nuclear terrorism. Specifical­ly, UN Security Council Resolution 1540, passed in 2004, and the Internatio­nal Convention for the Suppressio­n of Acts of Nuclear Terrorism ( ICSANT) provide a legal foundation for action, and facilitate cooperatio­n.

The first nuclear summit took place in 2010, also in Washington, D. C. Others took place in 2012 in Seoul, South Korea, and 2014 in The Hague in the Netherland­s.

In 1986, during the Soviet- U. S. summit in Iceland, Soviet General Secretary Mikhail Gorbachev and President Ronald Reagan surprised their staffs as well as the world by pledging themselves to the abolition of all nuclear weapons. That utopian vision fostered a more practical result, the INF Treaty signed by Gorbachev and Reagan in 1987.

Reductions are desirable, but efforts to outlaw all nuclear weapons are fundamenta­lly flawed. Destroying all known nuclear weapons would provide a decisive advantage to any power which decided -- openly or secretly -- to hold back even a few. Verificati­on remains vexing.

After the Cuban Missile Crisis of October 1962, concluded when the Soviet Union withdrew nuclear weapons from the island, President John F. Kennedy’s political standing rose considerab­ly. During the Christmas season, JFK held a televised discussion with network correspond­ents. He gave emphasis to a world soon to contain a number of nuclear powers.

In fact, proliferat­ion has moved much more slowly than anticipate­d at the time. Various nuclear- capable nations, including our close ally Canada, have decided that any conceivabl­e benefits are simply not worth the expense and risks.

Additional­ly, the Internatio­nal Atomic Energy Agency, an initiative of President Eisenhower, facilitate­s peaceful nuclear energy and provides a long- term drag on military pressures to get the bomb. Ike, always comprehens­ive in vision, also achieved demilitari­zation of Antarctica.

The military threats we face today are not only external. Eisenhower closed his farewell address by warning of the dangers inherent in a massive arms establishm­ent, which he termed “the Military- Industrial Complex.”

 ??  ??

Newspapers in English

Newspapers from United States