Colts (4-2) at Lions (3-3)

By the numbers:

■ Pick:

■ Time: 10 a.m.

■ Line/total: Colts -3, 49 ½

■ Analysis: The Lions improved to .500 after a dramatic 23-22 win over Atlanta. Detroit QB Matthew Stafford engineered a game-winning, 75-yard TD drive, hitting tight end T.J. Hockenson with an 11-yard TD pass as time expired. Now the Lions take on a Colts club that boasts one of the NFL’s best defenses and is refreshed after a bye week. QB Philip Rivers had a strong game in Indianapolis’ 31-27 win over Cincinnati two weeks ago, with 371 yards and three TDs. Look for the veteran to put up big numbers against Detroit’s weak pass rush.

■ By the numbers: The Lions are on a 5-12 ATS skid over and 4-9 ATS as underdogs. … Detroit is on an 8-1 over-under run. … The Colts are 1-7 straight up in their last eight road games, but have won four of the past five meetings against the Lions.

■ Pick: Colts 30, Lions 17

■ Time: 10 a.m.

■ Line/total: Packers -6, 49

■ Analysis: Green Bay continues to surge toward the top of the NFC, picking up a 35-20 victory at Houston last week despite missing star running back Aaron Jones and top offensive lineman David Bakhtiari. Now the Packers host a Vikings team coming off a bye week, in which they traded linebacker Yannick Ngakoue to the Ravens for draft picks. That might be a sign that Minnesota realizes it won’t be a playoff contender. Green Bay torched the Vikes in a 43-34 Week 1 win, and I’m anticipating another big day for Aaron Rodgers and company, who have won eight straight games at Lambeau Field.

By the numbers: The Packers have won 11 of their last 13 games and are riding an 8-3 cover streak vs. the Vikings at home. … The under is 9-3 in the last 12 meetings. … Minnesota is on an 0-16-1 straight-up slide outdoors against teams with a winning record.

■ Pick: Packers 38, Vikings 23 ½