Las Vegas Review-Journal (Sunday)
Omicron infections surface in Oregon, spur surge fears
‘ We are approaching this next surge, while still sitting at the halfway point coming down from delta.
’ Dr. Renee Edwards Oregon Health & Science University
PORTLAND, Ore. — Following three confirmed cases of the omicron variant in Oregon, health officials warned on Friday that the state may face its worst COVID-19 surge in the coming weeks, with the number of patients hospitalized more than doubling the pandemic’s peak.
As local scientists predict that the state has a three-week window to prepare for the next surge, Gov. Kate Brown and health authorities are urging people to get their COVID-19 booster shot.
“Today’s forecast is a warning we can’t ignore. Like a tsunami alert, the (Oregon Health & Science University) forecast is telling us that a big wave is coming,” said Patrick Allen, the director of the state health authority. “And it threatens to be bigger than any wave we’ve seen before.”
Officials say the threat that the highly transmissible omicron variant poses is “deeply troubling and demoralizing,” especially as hospitals continue to struggle with staffing shortages and limited available beds because of the surge caused by the delta variant.
As of Thursday, 389 people with COVID-19 were hospitalized in Oregon. There currently are only 57 available adult intensive care unit beds, and 94 percent of the state’s adult non-ICU beds are full.
“We are approaching this next surge, while still sitting at the halfway point coming down from delta,” said Dr. Renee Edwards, the chief medical officer for Oregon Health & Science University.
During the peak of the delta surge — in September — nearly 1,200 coronavirus patients were hospitalized.
Peter Graven, a data scientist at Oregon Health and Science University and author of an influential COVID-19 statewide forecast, predicts the number of hospitalizations in the state could “eclipse” Oregon’s peak by two or three times.
Graven said omicron probably will become the dominant variant in the state within a month and possibly trigger a fifth wave of infections. The first three cases of omicron were detected Monday in Oregon.
“Oregon probably has a little time, but each day is counting now,” Graven told Oregon Public Broadcasting this week.
Health officials say the best way to combat the quick spread of the new variant is for people to be fully vaccinated and receive a booster shot.
The health authority announced on Friday they are working to expand booster vaccination — with the goal of getting booster doses to 1 million more Oregonians by the end of January.
As part of the effort to more than double the number of Oregonians with booster shots, the health authority is focusing on getting shots to high-risk individuals in the next three weeks.
Currently, 74 percent of Oregonians 18 and older are fully vaccinated. Approximately 26 percent of Oregonians have received a booster or third dose.
Although officials warn of another wave of COVID-19, Brown did not announce any added statewide coronavirus-related restrictions.
Throughout the pandemic, Oregon has had some of the strictest safety measures and restrictions in the country. In the past there have been outdoor mask requirements, capacity limitations, closure of in-person learning and restaurants restricted to outdoor dining. Currently there is a statewide indoor mask mandate.
Brown said that “nothing is off the table,” but now the focus is on administering booster doses to vulnerable populations.