Las Vegas Review-Journal

RATE HIKE

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rate increase could be felt locally in varying ways.

Dr. Stephen Miller, a UNLV economics professor and director of the Center for Business and Economic Research, said he had mixed feelings about the prospect of the Fed raising rates. While employment has been good — with the exception of May — said Miller, long-term unemployme­nt remains an issue.

“Those people that are caught in long-term unemployme­nt are having a heck of a time,” said Miller, referring to those who have been unemployed for 27 weeks or longer.

Miller added that an interest rate change would likely have more of a psychologi­cal effect on the economy locally.

“An increase might cause mortgage rates to go up a bit, might slow down the housing market a bit,” said Miller.

Jeremy Aguero, principal analyst with Las Vegas-based Applied Analysis said the economy’s performanc­e warrants an increase in the interest rate.

Aguero described the Fed as being “patient” in their approach to raising the rate.

“They are not going to pre-empt economic growth,” said Aguero.

Locally, Aguero said the financial services sector could benefit from the increased rates. The banking industry has been “disproport­ionately affected” by the low interest rates, said Aguero.

Other national experts said a September rate hike was definitely a possibilit­y.

“The Fed is saying that nearterm risks have diminished, so that certainly puts September back in play,” said Brian Bethune, an economics professor at Tufts University.

Bethune said he still thought the Fed would wait until December before raising rates but that a Sep- tember move was possible if hiring remains strong and the global economy and markets remain stable.

Greg McBride, chief financial analyst at Bankrate.com, noted that “the Fed gave a very upbeat assessment of the U.S. economy, which is the first step toward prepping markets for another rate hike.”

Some also suggested that the Fed’s brighter outlook suggests that it’s become less concerned that a British exit from the EU — commonly dubbed “Brexit” — would seriously undermine the U.S. or global economy.

The statement signals that the Fed “does not think that Brexit will be a significan­t hindrance for the U.S. economy,” said Carl Tannenbaum, chief economist at Northern Trust.

Analysts said the next important signal of the Fed’s thinking could come when Chair Janet Yellen speaks at an annual central bank conference in late August in Jackson Hole, Wyoming. Review-JournAl writer AlexAnder S. Corey contribute­d to this report. ContAct him At Acorey@reviewjour­nAl.com or 702-383-0270. Find @Acoreynews on Twitter.

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