Smart for players to not check their stats

Lengthy slump, lit up on bump difficult to erase

Just as sure as someone could take advantage of this year’s pandemic-truncated, 60-game Major League Baseball schedule to hit

.400, there are bound to be players who end up with much worse stats than they’d like.

After all, it’s harder for a batter to make up for a bad week or a pitcher to mask a rough inning when there are only about two months to play instead of six.

And that could be troublesome in 2020, particularly for those who can become free agents next offseason.

“It definitely is going to go through people’s heads. It’s going to affect some guys. In a regular season, 162 games, you’re going to have hot streaks, you’re going to have extra-cold streaks, and in the end, it’s all going to balance out,” said catcher Kurt Suzuki, whose World Series champion Washington Nationals host the New York Yankees in an opener Thursday. “Now? … You could go for a slump for, what, 20 games, and then you only have 40 to pull yourself together.”

Think of it this way: In a typical season, a full-time position player might get about 500 at-bats, so he would need 150 hits for a .300 average. Add a 0-for-15 stretch — that batter is now 150 for 515 — and the average drops to .291.

A loose comparison: Someone with 180 at-bats in 2020 would need 54 hits for a .300 average. Tack on a 0-for-15 patch — that batter becomes 54 for 195 — and a .300 hitter transforms into a .277 hitter.

“You’re going to see really good players that have really bad years. It’s going to happen, not only position player-wise, but pitcher-wise,” said Milwaukee Brewers outfielder Christian Yelich, the 2018 National League MVP. “You don’t have that large sample size for everything to even out, so if you get off to a tough start or a bad start, you’re really behind the eight ball.”

For pitchers, bounces could be more dramatic.

If a pitcher with a 3.75 ERA over 60 innings were to add one five-run inning, that

ERA balloons to 4.43.

Texas Rangers manager Chris Woodward spoke to his relievers about just that very thing.

“They have one bad outing in the beginning of the year and they feel like their year is over — and that’s in a 162game setting. … If they give up four or five — you know, it could be three jam-shot hits, a weak ground ball, and they’ve given up five runs. You know, they feel like it takes them two months to get those stats back to where they want to,” Woodward said. “So in this setting, in 60 games, they’re going to almost feel the same way but almost worse.”

In all seasons, players talk about not wanting to try too hard to get out of a rut, because that makes the task harder.

With poor performances carrying extra weight, the mental strain could increase.