OVER UNDER
Here’s a look at selected player proposition wagers for Monday night’s game between the Raiders and Baltimore Ravens, with picks and analysis on each from the Vegas Nation staff.
Derek Carr completions O/U 23.5
■ Vincent Bonsignore: OVER
— The Raiders will have difficulty running the ball, which means Carr might have to throw more than anticipated
■ Ed Graney: UNDER —He averaged just over 21 in a career season last year, and it’s the Baltimore defense. ‘Nuff said.
■ Adam Hill: OVER — The Raiders might have difficulty finding yards through the interior of the Baltimore defense, so the short passing game could replace the rushing attack.
■ Sam Gordon: OVER — If the Ravens score the way they did last year, the Raiders are going to have to throw to keep pace.
■ Heidi Fang: OVER — The Raiders will throw the football somewhere around 40 times. With the high completion rate Carr tends to have, this seems achievable.
Darren Waller receptions O/U 6.5
■ Vincent Bonsignore: UNDER — The Ravens are going to throw everything but the kitchen sink at Waller, so expect the ball to go elsewhere.
■ Ed Graney: OVER — It should help that Waller will get at least 10 targets.
■ Adam Hill: UNDER — Baltimore defensive coordinator Don “Wink” Martindale will have his charges focused on taking away the Raiders’ best player.
■ Sam Gordon: OVER — Try as they may, the Ravens won’t stop Carr’s favorite target.
■ Heidi Fang: OVER —My expectations are seven to eight receptions with close to 100 yards and a touchdown.
Lamar Jackson rushing attempts O/U 10.5
■ Vincent Bonsignore: UNDER
— The Raiders will try to contain Jackson in a way that keeps him in the pocket.
■ Ed Graney: OVER — Given the lack of healthy running backs, it would seem Jackson might take off a few times.
■ Adam Hill: OVER — Jackson exceeded this number in eight of the final nine games last season.
■ Sam Gordon: OVER — The Ravens are down several running backs, putting more of an onus on Jackson to make plays with his legs. ■ Heidi Fang: OVER — Jackson isn’t only going to have to run more often, there should be plays designed for him to run as well.
Lamar Jackson longest completion O/U 33.5
■ Vincent Bonsignore: UNDER
— The back end of the Raiders’ defense is much improved.
■ Ed Graney: UNDER — Adam Hill insists this is going over based on some weird stat from last season. It’s 2021, baby.
■ Adam Hill: OVER — In his past two season openers, Jackson combined to go 37-for-45 for 599 yards. Expect him to draw safety Tre’von Moehrig in with the run game and then test the rookie over the top.
■ Sam Gordon: OVER — Jackson doesn’t hesitate to throw the ball down the field.
■ Heidi Fang: OVER — Jackson has the arm for the deep ball. Finding a way to connect with Mark Andrews or Marquise Brown for 35-plus yards seems a certainty.
Josh Jacobs rush yards O/U 49.5
■ Vincent Bonsignore: OVER — Jacobs will be in the 75-yard range. ■ Ed Graney: OVER — Put it this way — If he doesn’t go over, this game likely isn’t close.
■ Adam Hill: UNDER — That Jacobs is dealing with a toe injury and is likely to split carries to some degree with Kenyan Drake makes this number bigger than it looks.
■ Sam Gordon: UNDER — The Ravens boasted the sixth-best rushing defense in 2020, plus top free-agent acquisition Kenyan Drake likely will see carries as well.
■ Heidi Fang: OVER — Do not be scared off by his limited practice days or that Kenyan Drake is a part of the backfield. I think Jacobs will finish in the 70-yard range.