Lodi News-Sentinel

Coronaviru­s may wipe out state’s $21B ‘rainy day’ fund

- By John Myers

SACRAMENTO — For more than six years, through two governors and hundreds of lawmakers’ votes, California’s state government slowly built the largest cash reserve in its history — projected to total $21 billion by next summer.

But there are growing fears that the fastmoving crisis sparked by the coronaviru­s pandemic could force it to be spent in a matter of months.

A number of the state’s most experience­d budget watchers now expect that California might need to use the entire cash surplus, and possibly much more money, to prop up vital government services that could be severely underfunde­d by a quickly collapsing economy.

“This is a sudden downturn unlike anything we’ve seen,” said Gabriel Petek, the state’s legislativ­e analyst. “We’re kind of flying blind at this point.”

Few states bear more scars from crushing budget deficits of the past than California. Three significan­t economic downturns over the past quarter-century triggered sharp drops in tax revenue, two of which occurred in a single decade. The resulting events were historic: state government paymasters issued IOUs, vital services and school functions were slashed and angry voters removed Gov. Gray Davis from office in a 2003 special election.

But each prior collapse in government funding was a relatively slow-moving disaster. Even the global recession that began in 2008, generally seen as the most quickly unfolding crisis, gave lawmakers time to take corrective measures.

Early indication­s are they will have to act much more quickly to address the COVID-19 emergency — assuming that health concerns eventually lessen and allow legislator­s to return to Sacramento. And as financial markets shrink and jobless claims grow, the state’s budget situation could deteriorat­e much faster.

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“I don’t think people in California or the country have fully come to grips with the situation that we’re in,” said Assemblyma­n Phil Ting, a San Francisco Democrat, chairman of the lower house’s budget committee.

On Tuesday, advisers to Gov. Gavin Newsom took the first steps toward creating a triage plan. State agencies were told to assume no funding will exist for proposals they already had in the works, let alone new ideas. And legislator­s were told the administra­tion will be unable to submit its expected April 1 updates on government revenue and expenses.

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