Democrats lead in one Senate race in Georgia
Raphael Warnock claims victory in runoff against GOP’s Kelly Loeffler; second race is practically tied.
ATLANTA — The Rev. Raphael Warnock claimed victory for the Democrats in one of Georgia’s two Senate runoffs, but the races remained too close to call as the vote count stretched into Wednesday morning and control of the Senate — and much of President- elect Joe Biden’s agenda — hung in the balance.
“Georgia, I am honored by the faith you have shown in me,” said Warnock, who would be the first Black senator in Georgia history and the f irst Black Democrat elected to the Senate from a Southern state. “I am going to the Senate to work for all of Georgia.”
His opponent, incumbent Republican Sen. Kelly Loeff ler, did not concede, but Warnock had a lead of some 35,000 votes. Loeff ler said she still believed she had “a path to victory and we are staying on it!”
“This is a game of inches; we are going to win this election and we are going to save this country,” she said.
In the state’s other race, Democrat Jon Ossoff and Republican David Perdue, whose Senate term expired Sunday, remained neck and neck with thousands of votes yet to be tallied.
Amid a heavy overall turnout, most of the remaining uncounted votes were from around Atlanta and Savannah — areas where Democrats have piled up significant majorities — giving the party reason for optimism about its chances of winning Senate control.
“From the numbers we’re looking at right now, it doesn’t look good for the two incumbent Republican senators,” Georgia elections official Gabriel Sterling told Atlanta’s WSBTV.
Already, Republicans were battling over blame for the apparent loss in races they believed they would win, with many pointing fingers at President Trump.
“Everything he has done made it less likely that we would win,” one longtime Republican strategist said Tuesday night as the returns came in.
“Donald Trump doesn’t want Republicans to win,”
because when they do, “it makes it look like he is the only Republican in the country who cannot win,” the strategist added, speaking anonymously to avoid retribution from the president.
But a f inal outcome may not be known until overseas and military ballots are counted. By law, overseas and military ballots have until Friday to arrive at election offices.
Republicans only have to win one of the two runoff seats to maintain majority control of the Senate. If Democrats win both races, the chamber will be tied 50 to 50, with Vice President- elect Kamala Harris holding the tiebreaking vote to give Democrats control.
Democrats outperformed the GOP among the nearly 3.1 million Georgians who voted early, and as the votes came in, Republicans appeared to be falling short of their hopes of making up that ground with a strong election day showing.
Turnout was high in key Democratic areas, but appeared to be less high in some of the most conservative areas of the state, such as northwest Georgia, where Trump campaigned Sunday.
Republicans have held both of Georgia’s Senate seats for 15 years, but the state has become increasingly competitive, and Biden defeated Trump here by a narrow margin — just under 12,000 votes — in November.
Going into the race, there was just one thing everyone seemed to agree on: The results would be close.
Jack Kingston, a former Republican congressman from Georgia’s 1st District, credited Democrats’ massive get- out- the vote machine. Republicans sent out f liers to potential voters, he said, while Democrats sent out handwritten letters. They also mailed voters forms to request absentee ballots and offered them rides to the polls.
“The Democrats have worked their tails off,” he said.
Among the most promising signs for Democrats: Their base of Black voters showed up in force early, representing 31% of the early vote as opposed to 28% in the general election. More than 123,000 of those who voted early after skipping November’s election were Black, Latino and Asian Americans.
Republicans banked on strong turnout in rural counties to overtake the early Democratic lead. On Tuesday, Loeff ler and Perdue sent out a joint statement urging their supporters to go to the polls. The two said they were “encouraged” by reports of high voter turnout in traditionally GOP territory in northern Georgia, but such last- minute appeals are not often a sign of confidence.
The two Republicans warned it would be a “very close election” that “could come down to the difference of just a few votes in a few precincts.”
“This generational election will be decided by the votes cast in the next few hours — no one should be sitting on the sidelines. Go vote!” they wrote.
The Republican campaign may have been hindered by an extraordinary level of intraparty fighting as Trump campaigned to reverse Biden’s victory in Georgia and attacked GOP officials for failing to do more to support his unsubstantiated claims of voting fraud in the state.
Many Republicans had worried for weeks that Trump’s attacks on the November election would discourage supporters from turning out.
“Really, these last two months have just been painful,” said Allen Peake, a former Georgia state representative from Macon.
“To watch the president go down this rabbit hole, I’m like every other Republican; I cringe, I wonder what he’s going to say, what he’s going to do, what other embarrassment he’s going to bring upon himself, the party and the country.”
With the stakes so high, the two sides spent more than half a billion dollars on the two- month runoff campaign, and each race broke the record for spending in a Senate race. The Democratic candidates raised considerably more money than the Republican incumbents, but spending by outside groups — mostly four super PACs affiliated with Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell ( R- Ky.) — gave the Republicans an overall advantage.
There were few snafus Tuesday as hundreds of thousands of voters across the state poured into polling stations on a chilly but bright, sunny day to cast their ballots.
Wait times across the state averaged about one minute, according to the secretary of state’s office. Republicans had been favored early on to win the runoffs, which were needed because no candidate in either race got more than 50% of the vote in November. In past runoffs, GOP voters have turned out in more force, and the Republican candidates also performed slightly better than Democrats in the general election.
In November, Perdue received about 80,000 more votes than Ossoff, but fell short of the 50% threshold needed to win. In the other race, a special election that featured multiple candidates from each party, Warnock f inished ahead of Loeffler with about a third of the vote, but Republican candidates overall narrowly won more votes than Democrats.
The race was made much more competitive as Democrats ran a well- f inanced, nationally driven campaign, and grassroots voter mobilization groups fanned out across the state to ramp up early voter turnout across Atlanta’s urban and suburban counties.
For Democrats, winning both seats would allow them to avert gridlock in Congress and give Biden a chance to enact his legislative agenda. The election is also a test of whether Biden’s victory against Trump here was just a one- off or represents a significant realignment of political power in this Southern battleground state.
As Stacey Abrams, the Democrats’ former candidate for governor, put it Monday at a rally: “Georgia, we have a chance tomorrow to prove what happened in November wasn’t a f luke, but the future.”
For weeks, Trump and the Republican candidates have warned that if the Democrats win both Senate seats, the party would have full control of both the White House and Congress, giving Biden a free hand to enact his agenda.
In reality, a 50- 50 Senate with Harris breaking ties would still leave Biden significantly constrained, able to move no further than the most moderate Democrat would allow. Sen. Joe Manchin III of West Virginia, for example, has already publicly said he would block some goals sought by progressive Democrats, such as eliminating f ilibusters on legislation in the Senate.
“The control there is going to really be in the hands of the moderates,” said Alan Abramowitz, a professor of political science at Emory University. “Several of these moderate Democrats from several swing states or red states are going to have a lot to say about what can be passed.... Republicans’ warnings about radical socialism are complete nonsense.”
Georgia is likely to keep its battleground status regardless of Tuesday’s outcomes.
“The new normal is that Georgia is more electorally competitive,” said Andra Gillespie, an associate professor of political science at Emory. “We are entering an era where Democrats can now have a reasonable expectation that, if they work hard to campaign, they can win elections.”