Dodgers’ Bauer move was answer to Padres
L.A. made bold response after San Diego boosted pitching
For the offseason’s first three months, the Dodgers, the reigning World Series champions, kept their stove on low. They made mostly minor moves while watching contributors — Joc Pederson, Kiké Hernández, Pedro Báez and Alex Wood — join other teams. Their biggest transaction was resigning reliever Blake Treinen.
The San Diego Padres, the club chasing the eight-time defending National League West champions, bolstered their starting rotation. They traded for Blake Snell, a former Cy Young Award winner. Then they traded for Yu Darvish, who was second in the 2020 NL Cy Young Award race. Then they traded for Joe Musgrove to round out the rotation.
The Dodgers watched their toughest competition, already boasting Fernando Tatis Jr. and Manny Machado, improve by a considerable margin.
On Feb. 5, less than two weeks before the start of spring training, they responded by agreeing to a three-year, $102-million contract with Trevor Bauer, the best pitcher on the free-agent market. On Saturday, they presumably put a bow on their winter, resigning third baseman Justin Turner to a two-year, $34-million contract.
“Obviously, we’ve noticed,” Dodgers president of baseball operations Andrew Friedman said of the Padres’ busy offseason during Bauer’s introductory news conference Thursday. “We think they’re a really talented team. That being said, we’re pretty intrinsically motivated to be as good as we can be.”
The Dodgers were considered the favorites to win the World Series before Bauer joined. They still have Mookie Betts, Cody Bellinger, Clayton Kershaw, Walker Buehler and a surplus of impact performers. MLB Network’s list of the top 100 players in the majors includes eight Dodgers from the 2019 team in the top 50.
Turner is one of them. The only lingering uncertainty for the deepest roster in the majors is Kenley Jansen’s status as the closer.
Bauer’s addition was more of a surprise. He is a luxury few teams could have afforded. The Dodgers blasted through the competitive balance tax threshold to add him — and that was before Turner’s deal. The move could be the difference in their pursuit of a ninth consecutive division title.
Starting rotation
The Dodgers finished the abbreviated 2020 season with the majors’ second-best starters earned-run average (3.29). Their 3.11 starters ERA in 2019 was first. Their starter rotation projects to be even better in 2021.
If Bauer can replicate his success from 2018 and 2020 — the Dodgers bet $40 million in 2021 that he will — then the Dodgers added an ace on a short-term deal.
But the rotation is projected to improve in other spots too. Veteran left-hander David Price will pitch after opting out of the 2020 season. Julio Urías, Tony Gonsolin and Dustin May figure to continue getting better as they collect experience.
As it stands, Urías will occupy the rotation’s fifth spot. Gonsolin and May would make almost every other team’s rotation but will either begin the season in the bullpen or the minors. The Dodgers have seven healthy, quality major league starters — with top prospect Josiah Gray waiting in line.
The group does have its questions. Was Bauer’s 2020 season — 11 starts against the worst two divisions in the majors — a fluke? Can Buehler avoid another slow start and maintain an ace-level performance for a 162game season? Will Kershaw, in the final year of his contract, remain one of the majors’ top pitchers after turning 33?
They are questions almost every other club would love to face.
The Dodgers’ rotation has been one of the best in recent years. It shouldn’t be any different in 2021.
Bullpen
The Dodgers finished 2020 with the second-lowest bullpen ERA in the majors (2.74), but questions about the back end pervaded until the last out of their title season.
Urías, not Jansen, closed Game 6 of the World Series, but Jansen returns as the closer for the last year of his contract. Whether he’s in that role by the end of the spring or the middle of the summer or in the fall remains to be seen.
The Dodgers instead made changes elsewhere in the bullpen. Out went Báez, Dylan Floro, Adam Kolarek and Jake McGee. In came Corey Knebel, Garrett Cleavinger and Alex Vesia.
Caleb Ferguson is out after undergoing Tommy John surgery, leaving Scott Alexander, Victor Gonzalez, Cleavinger and Vesia as left-handed options.
Right-handers Treinen, Joe Kelly, Brusdar Graterol, May and Gonsolin figure to round out the bullpen.
Catcher
Will Smith has been an offensive force in his 91 career games since debuting in 2019. His defense and pitch calling, however, are behind, which is why the Dodgers elected to start Austin Barnes at catcher in four of the six World Series games last fall.
Barnes is the better framer, game caller and receiver, but he doesn’t supply Smith’s offense. Keibert Ruiz, widely regarded as the organization’s top prospect, is third in line again after making his major league debut last season.
Inf ield
This group was completed Saturday when Turner and the Dodgers finally agreed to terms. Turner wanted a longer contract, and at least one other team — the Milwaukee Brewers — had legitimate interest in signing the 36-year-old third baseman, but he took the Dodgers’ offer.
With Turner back in the fold, the Dodgers employ one of the best offensive infields in the majors. Turner’s defense has declined in recent years, but he’s still a dangerous hitter.
Corey Seager was a force in 2020. He fueled the offense during the playoffs, becoming the eighth player to be named MVP of the World Series and League Championship Series in the same postseason.
Max Muncy will play first base with Chris Taylor spending most of his time at second base. Zach McKinstry could replace Hernández as the super utility player. Matt Beaty can play first and third base. Gavin Lux is another option in the middle infield, though he could possibly use more time in the minors. Sheldon Neuse, acquired from the Oakland Athletics last week, gives the Dodgers depth at second and third. .
Outf ield
Betts’ first season as a Dodger was a smashing success. The right fielder batted .292 with 16 home runs and a .927 OPS during the regular season, which led to a secondplace finish in the NL MVP race, before showing off his five-tool skill set in October. At age 28, he remains in his prime.
Center fielder Bellinger’s production plummeted in 2020, but his home run-robbing catch in Game 3 of the NL Division Series and go-ahead home run in Game 7 of the NLCS will be played on highlight reels for years.
That home run, of course, led to Bellinger dislocating his right shoulder when he smashed forearms with Hernández in celebration. He underwent surgery in November and is expected to be ready for the start of the season, but the timetable could always change.
In left field, the Dodgers had Pederson and AJ Pollock platoon. Pederson, wanting to play every day, signed with the Chicago Cubs, leaving Pollock, Taylor and Beaty as the primary options.