2 more die in Larimer County

44 cases reported; risk factor moves to medium as hospital usage decreases

Larimer County reported two new deaths from COVID-19 and 44 confirmed coronavirus cases Monday.

The new cumulative tally since March was 3,827 as of 7:30 p.m.

The new deaths from the coronavirus pushed the total to 57: an 88-year-old Loveland man whose death was reported Oct. 13 and an 80-year-old Estes Park woman reported Oct. 23.

The Larimer County Department of Health and Environment’s online list includes both confirmed and probable cases in the 3,827 total.

Probable cases are residents with symptoms and a link to a confirmed case but who were not tested themselves.

The county also tracks suspect cases, which was unchanged Monday at 497. These are people who tested positive via an antibody test but never showed symptoms.

Overall, 86% of the cases are confirmed with a nasal swab test, 3% are probable and 11% are suspect.

Of the 44 new confirmed cases, 29 live in Fort Collins, 10 in Loveland, two in Johnstown, two in Wellington and one in Glen Haven.

The oldest is a 74-year-old Fort Collins woman, while the youngest is a 1-year-old Fort Collins girl.

Other children on the list include four boys: a 6-year-old from Johnstown and a 10-yearold, a 12-year-old and a 14-yearold from Fort Collins.

Of the rest, 41% range from age 17 to 29, 20% are in their 30s, 11% are in their 50s and 10% each in their 40s and 60s. The remaining percentage is the 74year-old and the children.

The number of outbreaks was unchanged Monday, with 18 active and 51 resolved for a total of 69.

Overall, the county’s risk rating dropped from high to the upper range of medium. Here is how some of the risk factors were at 7:30 p.m. Monday:

• 228 cases per 100,000, much higher than the state target level of 50 and what of ficials have said is an indicator of the virus’ prevalence in the population.

•4.5% positivity rate for the past two weeks, below the 5% state benchmark but higher than the 2% to 3% the county was running just weeks earlier.

• 24 patients hospitalized for the virus across the county, which qualifies as a low risk factor.

• 63% utilization rate across all hospital beds and all hospital conditions, a low-risk factor, and down from figures in the 70s in recent days.

• 74% usage of intensive care unit beds, which is in the low range of medium risk.

• 65 new cases within the past 24 hours, which is considered a high-risk factor. Anything over 25 is considered high risk, while fewer than 12 is considered low risk.

Information is updated daily at larimer.org/ coronavirus.