Marin Independent Journal

Natural herd immunity is the wrong strategy

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The Dec. 19 letter by Basia Crane suggests that Americans will reject the vaccine, so we should let the virus run its course. But, she argues we should try to protect the most vulnerable and open up the economy. This was recommende­d by the Great Barrington Declaratio­n, pushed by Dr. Scott Atlas at the White House, and implemente­d by the Swedish government. I believe Crane’s recommenda­tions are wrong.

More and more Americans are supportive of the COVID-19 vaccines, more than 70% now, with numbers rising as they see how safe it is. The Great Barrington Declaratio­n has been countered by the John Snow Memorandum, which is signed by thousands of health care profession­als. Recently, Sweden’s leader announced that the country’s approach, to leave the economy open, was a failure. The Swedes tried to protect the most vulnerable, but their mortality rate is much higher than neighborin­g Nordic countries.

A study published on Dec. 16 in the Journal of the American Medical Associatio­n reported that among U.S. adults aged 25 to 44, during the first half of 2020, there were more deaths due to COVID-19 than due to opioid overdose. In California, the high death rate in this young adult population is especially impacting the Latino and Black communitie­s. Deaths among young adults will increase if we completely open the economy.

The lockdown rules do harm to small businesses, especially restaurant­s. But with the current high rate of infection and deaths, and hospital ICU beds full, the lockdown is the best way to prevent more deaths until this wave declines and all those who want the vaccine can get it. Small businesses and the unemployed should be financiall­y supported by our federal government during this crisis.

— David Rempel, Inverness

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