Marin Independent Journal

Science organizati­on: Consider air cooling tech as climate backup

- By Seth Borenstein

The U.S. must seriously consider the idea of tinkering with the atmosphere to cool a warming Earth and accelerate research into how and whether humanity should hack the planet, the National Academy of Sciences said Thursday.

The report by the academy, set up by Abraham Lincoln to provide the government with expert advice, doesn’t recommend carrying out solar geoenginee­ring to bounce heat back to space. At least not yet.

But an emergency plan needs to be explored, the report says, because climate change-driven extreme weather has worsened since the last time the academy looked at the highly-charged issue in 2015. That requires coordinate­d research into whether air-tinkering technology would work, its potentiall­y dangerous side effects, its ethics and the potential for political fall-out.

The report looks at three possible ways to cool the air: Putting heatreflec­ting particles in the stratosphe­re, changing the brightness of ocean clouds and thinning high clouds.

“Climate engineerin­g is a really dumb idea, but it might not be as dumb as doing nothing at this point or continuing to do what we’ve been doing,” Scripps Institutio­n of Oceanograp­hy atmospheri­c chemist Lynn Russell, a report co-author, told The Associated Press. “It has a lot of risks and those are important to learn as much as we can about.”

The panel recommende­d ramping up research spending by several fold to $40 million a year, along with “exit ramps” to end study if an unacceptab­le risk is found.

“I honestly don’t know whether or not it’s going to make sense,” said committee chairman Chris Field of Stanford University.

Critics, such as Oxford University’s Raymond Pierrehumb­ert, worry that there’s a “moral hazard” providing a tempting option to use questionab­le technology instead of the necessary cutting back on carbon pollution. He said the term geoenginee­ring wrongly makes it sound like humans have control over heat like a thermostat.

Texas A&M University’s Andrew Dessler sees geoenginee­ring as a safety feature for the planet, like car airbags you hope to never need.

A Harvard team is working on a small-scale experiment where eventually a balloon would put a few pounds of aerosols 12 miles (20 kilometers) into the air to reflect the sun. That group hopes to run a system test, with no chemical injection, later this year over Sweden.

This report is more forceful than the 2015 version, detailing government oversight and how research should be done, said academy president Marcia McNutt, who chaired the earlier study.

Is geoenginee­ring too risky to even consider?

“It is not so much playing with fire as it is researchin­g fire, so that we understand it well enough to deploy, if necessary, said Waleed Abdalati, a former NASA chief scientist who was on the 2015 panel. “Sometimes you have to examine very risky options when the stakes are as high as they are with climate change.”

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