A tropical depression is brewing, and there’s another Atlantic system, forecasters say

Wednesday was the first day of the 2022 Atlantic hurricane season, and forecasters were already monitoring two disturbances.

One of the systems, the remnants of Hurricane Agatha, was forecast to turn into a tropical depression in the next few days and bring heavy rain to South Florida on Friday and Saturday, National Weather Service forecasters told the Miami Herald.

The other disturbance was producing disorganized showers about 150 miles northeast of the northwest Bahamas on Wednesday night, but is unlikely to develop over the next few days as it moves away from the southeastern United States.

The system previously known as Agatha in the Pacific is the one that Florida needs to watch.

The disturbance has crossed over into the Atlantic basin and was producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms over the northwestern Caribbean Sea and Yucatan Peninsula, according to the National Hurricane Center’s 8 p.m. advisory Wednesday.

Forecasters expect it will become a tropical depression by the weekend as it slowly moves northeast.

“Regardless of development, locally heavy rainfall is likely across portions of the Yucatan Peninsula during the next day or so, spreading across western Cuba, South Florida, and the Florida Keys on Friday and Saturday,” the hurricane center said in its advisory.

The disturbance has an 80% chance of formation through the next five days, the hurricane center said.

The first name on the 2022 Atlantic storm list is Alex. NOAA predicts this will be another “above average” season with

14-21 named storms, 6-10 of which will grow into hurricanes and 3-6 that will develop into major hurricanes of Category 3 or higher.