Milwaukee Journal Sentinel

Injuries can make or break a team

- PETE DOUGHERTY

One given in the NFL is that you have to overcome injuries.

Another is that some injuries can’t be overcome. We see it almost every year. A team has a long list of players on injured reserve, including several starters, yet does great things. Count the 2010 Green Bay Packers in that group.

Another loses a key player or two, not necessaril­y even a quarterbac­k, and its title chances are kaput. That’s the Oakland Raiders (quarterbac­k Derek Carr) and maybe Seattle Seahawks (safety Earl Thomas) this season.

The chase for the Super Bowl is in large part a matter of getting to and through the playoffs with key players close to full strength.

“Football is a game of attrition,” is how Packers linebacker Clay Matthews summed it up last week while discussing his injury issues this season.

As the Packers head for what could be a de facto playoff game against the Detroit Lions on Sunday night, a look back to 2010 offers a couple of valuable insights into what goes into winning a title.

Injuries were a never-ending theme for the Packers that season. They finished with 16

players on IR, including starters Jermichael Finley, Mark Tauscher, Ryan Grant, Nick Barnett and rookie safety Morgan Burnett.

But you don’t always know at the time which injuries a team can overcome. Those Packers had a blossoming Aaron Rodgers and enough talent at receiver to compensate for losing Finley even though their offense had been built around him.

First-round pick Bryan Bulaga proved to be a readymade replacemen­t for Tauscher at right tackle. Rookie James Starks materializ­ed in January after a season-long hamstring injury and proved to be just as good as Grant. With all-pro Nick Collins at safety, it almost didn’t matter who played opposite him.

And in lesson No. 2, Barnett’s injury ended up helping the defense. His replacemen­t, Desmond Bishop, turned out to be a better player.

The Super Bowl victory over Steelers showed the occasional­ly serendipit­ous side of injuries. Donald Driver’s day ended with an ankle injury early in the second quarter. His absence forced the Packers to play ascending young Jordy Nelson more, and his nine catches for 140 yards suggest that by that time he was a better player than his 36-year-old teammate. That brings us to this year. Coach Mike McCarthy’s 2016 team has weathered one key season-ending injury, to Eddie Lacy. Ty Montgomery has made the difference there. The question is whether the Packers can weather another, Sam Shields’ concussion in Week 1. He was their best cornerback, and they’ve missed him even more than I would have guessed at the time.

Damarious Randall and Quinten Rollins looked primed for big improvemen­t in the off-season, but for whatever reasons it hasn’t come.

You also have to wonder if another injury, Randall Cobb’s, has opened the door to more serendipit­y.

The Packers need to keep an open mind to the possibilit­y that rookie Geronimo Allison should play as much as or even ahead of Cobb when the latter returns from an ankle injury.

Allison is an imposing receiver at 6-foot-3. His size brought an eye-catching dimension to the Packers’ offense that the 5-10 Cobb can’t match. And Rodgers is more

than willing to throw to the rookie, which means he must run good routes.

Here’s a quick look at how injuries could affect some of the other contenders’ title chances:

Detroit: Cornerback Darius Slay’s hamstring injury could kill its playoff chances. If Slay can’t play or is compromise­d Sunday, the Lions will have a tough time matching up. Quarterbac­k Matthew Stafford’s dislocated middle finger on his throwing hand doesn’t help, either.

Dallas: The NFC’s most talented offense also has its healthiest team. With nothing to play for Sunday and a firstround bye, the Cowboys could be as close to full strength as a team could hope.

Atlanta: Receiver Julio Jones (toe) is still mending. He’s indispensa­ble, so a firstround bye would be a huge help. Cornerback Desmond Trufant (pectoral) was a meaningful loss last month.

Seattle: Thomas’ seasonendi­ng broken leg could be a deal-breaker. Much of what makes the Seahawks a top defense revolves around his abilities in center field.

New York Giants: Their one injury of note is DE Jason Pierre-Paul’s recent hernia-type. He might be back next week for the playoffs. He makes a difference.

New England: Tight end Rob Gronkowski’s seasonendi­ng back injury is big. The Patriots have Tom Brady, a good No. 2 tight end in Martellus Bennett and are 7-0 without Gronkowski this year. But whether they can beat, say, Dallas without him, I’m not so sure.

Pittsburgh: One of the Steelers’ best defensive players, end Cameron Heyward (pectoral), is out for the season. That hurts. At least all their must-have offensive players (Ben Roethlisbe­rger, Le’Veon Bell and Antonio Brown) are healthy.

Kansas City: The Chiefs have weathered the loss of running back Jamaal Charles. Doubtful they can do the same in the playoffs without their best pass rusher, defensive end Justin Houston. He won’t play for the second straight week because of swelling in his post-surgical knee.

Miami: Probably not much of a Super Bowl threat even with quarterbac­k Ryan Tannehill (knee). Not one at all with him sidelined indefinite­ly.

Oakland: No Carr, no chance.

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