Transportation claim bumpy

In his “state of the state” speech on Jan. 24, which was something of a launching pad for his run for a third term as governor, Republican Scott Walker drew contrasts between himself and his predecessor, Democrat Jim Doyle.

Despite criticism for not spending more on transportation, Walker nevertheless claimed he’s done better than Doyle, stating:

“We invested” in our transportation system “$24 billion over eight years. That’s $3 billion more than what former Governor Jim Doyle spent on transportation over the same period of time.”

Walker has made the same claim for at least 11 months, on Twitter, in a weekly radio address, in media interviews and in public appearances.

The numbers

The nonpartisan Legislative Fiscal Bureau told us it’s possible to reach Walker’s figures by

considering the total raw dollars put toward transportation programs, including a double count of the principal in terms of money borrowed.

That is, Walker’s method counts the principal at the time money was borrowed and counts it again when repayments are made on that debt. That method shows Walker’s eight years of DOT funding, in raw dollars, including bonding and subsequent debt service payments, at $25.8 billion — $3.4 billion more than Doyle.

But besides doing the double counting, that measure also fails to take into account inflation.

So, it is problematic in two ways.

Here are the fiscal bureau numbers without the double counting but including inflation:

❚ Doyle — 2003-’11: $18.7 billion

❚ Walker — 2011-’19: $17.4 billion

Those figures show that Doyle, in real dollars, spent $1.3 billion more on transportation than Walker has.

We ran into a similar issue when Walker said a year ago the state is “investing more money into education than ever before in the history of Wisconsin.” Our rating was Mostly False, since it didn’t take into account inflation, which is the best way to measure amounts over time.

Our rating

Walker says “we invested” in our transportation system “$24 billion over eight years. That’s $3 billion more than what former Governor Jim Doyle spent on transportation over the same period of time.”

Walker’s claim uses raw dollars and counts the total amount of bonding, debt service and all funds put toward transportation. But that double-counts the principal and ignores inflation.

Excluding the double counting and taking into account inflation — that is, real dollars spent on transportation — Doyle actually spent more in his eight years than Walker has in his.

We rate Walker’s statement Mostly False.