Milwaukee Journal Sentinel

Iowa voters throng to caucuses

Dem hopefuls face first true test of 2020 campaign, with new rules in place

- Steve Peoples, Thomas Beaumont and Alexandra Jaffe

DES MOINES, Iowa – Iowa voters packed caucus sites across the state Monday night as Democrats balanced a strong preference for fundamenta­l change with an overwhelmi­ng desire to defeat President Donald Trump in the opening contest of the 2020 presidenti­al primary season.

State party officials were counting votes amid reports of strong turnout in some precincts, with at least four leading candidates battling for the chance to take on Trump in November. Iowa’s first-in-the-nation caucuses have been expected to provide some clarity for what has been a muddled nomination fight for much of the last year.

The caucuses offered the opening test suggesting who and what the party stands for in the turbulent age of Trump. It’s just the first in a primary season that will span all 50 states and several U.S. territorie­s, ending only at the party’s national convention in mid-July.

For Democrats, the moment was thick with promise for a party that has seized major gains in states since Trump won the White House in 2016. But instead of clear optimism, a cloud of uncertaint­y and intraparty resentment hung over Monday’s election as the prospect of an unclear result raised fears of a long and divisive primary fight in the months ahead.

The candidates fanned out across the state to rally their supporters.

“I’m the one who can pull our party together,” Massachuse­tts Sen. Elizabeth Warren told supporters on a telephone

call before voting began, suggesting her rivals could not. They said they were the ones to bring unity.

One unsurprisi­ng developmen­t: Trump won the Republican caucus, a largely symbolic victory given that he faced no significant opposition.

Polls suggested that Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders might have a narrow lead, but any of the top four candidates – Sanders, former Vice President Joe Biden, Warren and former South Bend, Indiana, Mayor Pete Buttigieg – could score a victory in Iowa’s unpredicta­ble and quirky caucus system as organizers prepared for record turnout. Sen. Amy Klobuchar, who represents neighborin­g Minnesota, was also claiming momentum, while outsider candidates including entreprene­ur Andrew Yang, billionair­e activist Tom Steyer and Hawaii Rep. Tulsi Gabbard could be factors.

Roughly two-thirds of Iowa caucusgoer­s said supporting a candidate who would fundamenta­lly change how the system in Washington works was important to their vote, according to AP VoteCast, a survey of voters who said they planned to take part in Monday’s Democratic caucuses.

That compared to about a third of caucusgoer­s who said it was more important to support a candidate who would restore the political system to how it was before Trump’s election in 2016.

Not surprising­ly, nearly every Iowa Democrat said the ability to beat Trump was an important quality for a presidenti­al nominee. VoteCast found that measure outranked others as the most important quality for a nominee.

Iowa Democrats also reported two major issues dominating their thoughts: health care and climate change.

By midday Monday, a handful of satellite caucuses had already taken place– some thousands of miles away from Iowa. In Glasgow, Scotland, Sanders received the most support from the 19 caucus-goers who attended, while Warren came in second and Buttigieg came in third. No other candidates were viable.

In Iowa, some 200,000 voters were expected.

Three senators in the field left Iowa late Sunday to return to the U.S. Capitol for Trump’s impeachmen­t trial, but did what they could to keep their campaigns going from Washington. While

Warren held her telephone town hall, Klobuchar’s husband and daughter appeared at a canvass launch in Des Moines.

In suburban Des Moines, Buttigieg delivered about 100 volunteers a last shot of encouragem­ent before they stepped out into the chill to knock on doors for him around midday Monday.

“We are exactly where we need to be to astonish the political world,” he said, igniting cheers for the 38-year-old former midsize-city mayor, who was an asterisk a year ago and is now among the top candidates.

Meanwhile, Biden and his wife, Jill, delivered pizza Monday to a few dozen volunteers working the phones at his south Des Moines field office.

“I feel good,” he said as he walked in, sporting his signature aviator sunglasses.

Iowa offers just a tiny percentage of the delegates needed to win the nomination but plays an outsize role. A poor showing in Iowa could cause a frontrunne­r’s fundraisin­g to slow, while a strong result can give a candidate much needed momentum.

The past several Democrats who won the Iowa caucuses went on to clinch the party’s nomination.

The 2020 fight has played out over myriad distractio­ns, particular­ly congressio­nal Democrats’ push to impeach Trump.

Meanwhile, ultrabilli­onaire Mike Bloomberg, the former mayor of New York City, is running a parallel campaign that ignores Iowa as he prepares to pounce on any perceived weaknesses in the field come March.

The amalgam of oddities, including new rules for reporting the already complicate­d caucus results, was building toward what could be a murky Iowa finale before the race pivots quickly to New Hampshire, which votes just eight days later.

New party rules may give more than one candidate an opportunit­y to claim victory in Iowa, even if they aren’t the official winner.

For the first time, the Iowa Democratic Party reported three sets of results at the end of the state’s first-in-the-nation caucuses: a tally of caucus-goers’ initial candidate preference; vote totals from the “final alignment” after supporters of lower-ranking candidates were able to make a second choice, and the total number of State Delegate Equivalent­s each candidate receives.

The Associated Press will declare a winner based on the number of state delegates each candidate wins.

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