Milwaukee Journal Sentinel

Markets crater.

Fed actions were not enough to calm investors

- Jessica Menton

U.S. stocks plunged Monday, pummeled by coronaviru­s-fueled anxiety that the global economy is headed for a recession as countries shut down global business and travel.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average slid 2,997.10 points, or 12.9%, to 20,188.52 – its second-worst percentage loss in history behind the “Black Monday” stock market crash in 1987. The benchmark Standard & Poor’s 500 index plunged 12% to finish at 2,386.13. The broad index briefly triggered an automatic shock absorber for the third time in six sessions when it fell more than 7% shortly after the opening bell. The Nasdaq dropped 970.28 points, or 12.3%, to 6,904.59.

The turbulence came after the Federal Reserve took emergency action late

Sunday to cushion the economy from the deadly virus. The central bank cut interest rates and launched a fresh round of crisis-era bond purchases.

Losses accelerate­d in the final hour of trading Monday after President Donald Trump said the pandemic could last into the summer.

“Investors aren’t happy because these rate cuts won’t stimulate the economy in the near term. You can’t stimulate demand if everyone is stuck in their house,” said Shana Sissel, director of investment due diligence at Orion Advisor Solutions. “This isn’t a financial failure. This is a global pandemic that affects everyone across the globe. The quickest way to ramp everything back up is to provide them with a safety net in the meantime.”

“If people are forced to stop working, they still have to pay rent at the end of the month,” said Willie Delwiche, an investment strategist at Baird. “This is a much bigger problem with an unknown solution than we’ve ever had in the past.”

Investors were anxiously awaiting an aid package from Washington that investors hope can help cushion the economy from the slowdown in economic activity. The Senate is expected to vote mid-week on legislatio­n to provide economic relief to Americans. Trump said Friday he would support the sweeping measure.

“Monetary and fiscal policy need to work together to bridge the next several months until the virus recedes and the economy gets back on its feet,” said Michael Sheldon, chief investment officer and executive director at investment advisor RDM Financial Group at Hightower. “Actions by multiple central banks around the world should help over time, but greater fiscal policy will likely be needed to help those affected.”

The yield on the 10-year Treasury slid to 0.72% from 0.95% late Friday, a sign that investors are flocking into investment­s seen as safe.

Global markets were battered over

night after China reported retail sales fell 20.5% from a year ago in January and February after shopping malls and other businesses were closed. Factory output declined by a record 13.5% after the Lunar New Year holiday was extended to keep manufactur­ing workers at home.

On Monday, Japan’s central bank expanded asset purchases to inject money into the economy and promised no-interest loans to help companies cope with the crisis.

The figures were even bleaker than economists expected. Some cut their forecasts for the world’s second-largest economy. ING said this year’s growth might fall as low as 3.6%, the weakest since at least the 1970s.

JPMorgan Chase says the U.S. economy may shrink at a 2% annual rate this quarter and 3% in the April-through-June

quarter. To many investors, that meets the definition of a recession, and the question is how long it will last.

Last week, the longest bull market in history ended just days following its 11th anniversar­y after the S&P 500 slid into a bear market, or a 20% drop from its Feb. 19 record. Strategist­s at Goldman Sachs say the broad index could drop as low as 2,000 in the middle of the year, which would be a 41% decline from its high set just a month ago. Goldman expects the index would rally back to 3,200 at year end.

“The coronaviru­s has created unpreceden­ted financial and societal disruption,” Goldman analysts said in a note. “But event-driven bear markets are usually followed by sharp rebounds.”

Overseas, Paris tumbled 10%, London sank 7%, and Frankfurt gave up 8.5%. Sydney’s benchmark plunged 9.7%, and Hong Kong’s Hang Seng lost 4%.

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