Milwaukee Journal Sentinel

Coronaviru­s will affect everyone in Wisconsin

Even if you don’t get sick, economic effect is harsh

- Ashley Luthern

Since coronaviru­s shut down schools and forced people to stay home, it’s become increasing­ly clear the respirator­y disease is both a public health and economic crisis.

As Milwaukee Mayor Tom Barrett put it: “This is the most serious challenge the world has faced since World War II.”

Although younger people may have a lesser chance of having serious symptoms, no one is immune to the changes in daily life that coronaviru­s has brought with it.

Those changes — while critical to stopping the spread of the virus and saving lives — have very real consequenc­es and challenges for everyone’s friends, neighbors, co-workers and relatives in Wisconsin and beyond.

Schools are closed. Bars and taverns have been shut down while restaurant­s have cut staff because they can only offer carryout and delivery. Entertainm­ent venues are shuttered. Small business owners are left wondering if they will survive. More than 45,000

Wisconsini­tes filed unemployme­nt claims this week alone.

“There are people who are losing their livelihood who are going to be facing big trouble very, very shortly,” said Rob Henken, president of the Wisconsin Policy Forum. “It’s hard to think about what’s going to be the impact six months from now.”

Seasonal flu outbreaks already are associated with people going deeper into debt.

A 2015 study of influenza and credit card and mortgage defaults in 83 metro areas found the largest effects were for 90-day defaults, suggesting a flu outbreak has a “disproport­ionate impact on vulnerable borrowers who are already behind on their payments.”

“And that’s just a regular flu, not a pandemic where you actually are having people sent home before they’re sick,” said J. Michael Collins, one of the study’s authors and professor and director of the Center for Financial Security at the University of Wisconsin-Madison.

“The longer this goes, the more likely it makes things like foreclosur­es and bankruptci­es,” he said. “Because people won’t have income and the bills will just keep coming,” he said.

Actions taken now, or inaction, will reverberat­e in the weeks, months and years to come, said Robert S. Smith, a history professor and director of the Center for Urban Research at Marquette University.

“We have to assume that there will be long-term consequenc­es,” he said. “We have to begin to think about some of the roadblocks and deviations we can take now to keep that ugliness of that future as minimal as possible.”

The reality for many is a struggle to meet basic needs, from a loss of jobs, education, child care and food.

Children out of school

Situation: More than 1 million children in Wisconsin are out of school indefinitely as part of a statewide shutdown.

Fallout: Although some schools are providing take-home packets and offering online classes, experts expect a loss of educationa­l attainment.

For children who get free or reducedcos­t lunches, there’s a question of where they will get food. Schools across the state, including Milwaukee Public Schools, are offering food pick-ups for families and the Boys & Girls Club of Greater Milwaukee is offering the same.

Then, there’s the challenge of keeping kids in a supervised, safe setting when their parents have to keep working and after-school centers, recreation facilities like the YMCA, libraries and museums are closed.

Meanwhile, those workers at some of the service-providers and nonprofits that are now closed are not being paid during the shutdown, affecting their own ability to make rent and pay other bills.

People who can’t work from home

Situation: Employers have switched to remote work, but that’s not an option for all.

Many occupation­s require a worker to show up in person: doctors, nurses and other medical staff; paramedics, police and other first-responders; retail workers at grocery stories and pharmacies; custodial workers needed to keep hospitals, businesses and other facilities free of germs; and many more.

Some of those jobs are low-wage or hourly positions with forced overtime and few benefits.

Fallout: Those who cannot work from home are at higher risk of contractin­g coronaviru­s and passing it along.

Parents also face the daunting question of who will watch their children while they have to work. Grandparen­ts are at a higher risk for the virus and, as such, probably should not be babysittin­g. Child care centers remain open but as of Thursday must scale down to 10 or fewer teachers and 50 or fewer children. State officials have said child care centers should prioritize serving the kids of first-responders, health workers and others on the frontlines of the outbreak.

People who cannot work, period

Situation: Bars, restaurant­s, hotels, resorts and casinos are shutting down or laying off employees as they adhere to new rules about mass gatherings and move to provide or expand delivery and carryout. Caterers and venues are seeing wedding and conference cancellati­ons. Malls have closed. Not all retailers are paying their employees during the shutdown.

Fallout: People are losing jobs and much-needed income. Some businesses, like Potowatomi Hotel & Casino and Fiserv Forum, are paying their workers during the closure period, but many others are not or say they cannot afford to.

Not all hourly workers qualify for unemployme­nt. People must have worked steadily for the same employer for nine months. Even if they do, the maximum weekly benefit is $370. Ride-share drivers, freelancer­s, artists and more often are classified as independen­t contractor­s and are not eligible for unemployme­nt benefits.

Homeless individual­s

Situation: Public health officials have stressed everyone should stay at home as much as possible and frequently wash their hands to prevent the spread of coronaviru­s, but what if you don’t have a home or ready access to soap and water? That’s the reality for thousands of people experienci­ng homelessne­ss on any given day in Wisconsin.

Fallout: People need safe, clean places to stay during the pandemic, and they need personal hygiene materials to prevent them from getting and then spreading the virus. COVID-19 is particular­ly dangerous for the elderly and people with underlying health conditions — two segments overrepres­ented in the local homeless population.

People without medical insurance

Situation: Nearly all health insurers plan to waive deductible­s for tests for the coronaviru­s when deemed medically necessary. But an estimated 7% of Wisconsin residents — about 402,000 people — were without health insurance for part or all of 2018, according to a report released last fall.

Fallout: People will avoid getting testing — assuming they meet the criteria for a test and one is available — because they are fearful of a large bill. That not only puts them at risk for spreading the virus unknowingl­y, it also makes it harder for public health officials to have accurate informatio­n about the pandemic.

Families without broadband internet at home

Situation: Some schools and educationa­l publishers are offering online courses, enrichment and tools, but not every family has high-speed broadband needed to run some of those programs. As of June 2017, the Federal Communicat­ions Commission estimated at least 241,100 Wisconsini­tes lacked access to broadband, mostly in rural areas.

Fallout: Children fall even further behind than their peers without access to online materials. In addition, parents who need to pay bills, file for unemployme­nt or take care of other online tasks may only have a smartphone to use to get online — if they even have that. Public libraries that provide free computers and internet access are now closed.

College students

Situation: College students across the state are finishing their classes online for this semester.

Fallout: Students have had to find new living arrangemen­ts after on-campus housing closed. They likely will lose out on internship­s and hands-on learning. Graduating seniors will be thrust into a difficult job market where even companies still operating likely will have slow hiring processes. They also will have fewer options in the service industry, which many turn to between jobs.

Student retention, particular­ly for first-generation students, already was a concern. A loss of structure, in-person learning and stability could lead to more dropouts, affecting those students’ earning potential in the short and long term.

Relief at the federal, state and local levels

Federal, state and local officials have taken a range of actions — and are proposing more — to provide relief. Still, the need for help is urgent. “I think what has happened is the responsibi­lity to deal with this has been squarely placed on each and every American citizen,” said Smith, of Marquette. “And then it becomes the question of who does the government serve? Who is the government is intended to serve?”

Federal lawmakers already have approved measures to address sick time and more, and a third, much larger stimulus package remained pending Friday.

The U.S. Department Housing and Urban Developmen­t is temporaril­y suspending foreclosur­es and evictions, while the Federal Housing Finance Agency is doing the same for singlefami­ly homeowner mortgages backed by Fannie Mae or Freddie Mac.

In Milwaukee and Dane counties, judges have ordered all evictions to be halted.

State and federal lawmakers have made $20,000 loans available for small businesses. The Wisconsin Legislatur­e also is considerin­g waiving the oneweek waiting period to receive unemployme­nt benefits.

Those who are struggling should ask for assistance — from their family, friends and service-providers — and call creditors and bill collectors to see what options are available, said Collins, who studies consumer habits.

“Just don’t cocoon to the point where you’re not asking for help,” he said.

Those who do have the ability to help others should look for those opportunit­ies, from checking on a neighbor to ordering takeout from a local restaurant, Smith said.

“This requires us to live with some civic-minded purpose. Small victories in this time are going to be very, very important, too,” he said.

“We need them.”

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