Analysis: Scheffler comparisons with Woods is a tribute to both
AUGUSTA, GA. >> Just think if Scottie Scheffler had not misread that 5-foot birdie putt that kept him out of a playoff at the Houston Open.
Imagine him slipping his arms into that size 44 long Masters green jacket as a winner of his last four tournaments. The comparisons with Tiger Woods might be greater.
Even now, some restraint is required.
For starters, no one brought up the possibility of a Grand Slam in Scheffler’s news conference Sunday evening at Augusta National. It was like that for Woods, and Jack Nicklaus before him, whenever they won the Masters (at least when they were in their 20s and 30s).
The BETMGM Sportsbook already has Scheffler listed at +450 for the PGA Championship, with Jon Rahm and Rory Mcilroy next at +1200. Scheffler has the same odds for the U.S. Open, slightly higher (+600) for the British Open at Royal Troon. That’s not unusual for a guy who has been No. 1 in the world for the last 11 months.
But as great as Scheffler has been playing, he still has much to prove.
Consider this — the previous two Masters champions, Rahm in 2023 and Scheffler in 2022, didn’t win again the rest of the year after they won the Masters.
Scheffler has 10 victories worldwide, all but one of them coming in February, March and April. The exception is the Hero World Challenge in the Bahamas last December, which is easy to overlook because of the 20-man field. It gets
world ranking points but doesn’t count as official on any tour in the world.
The comparisons with Woods stem from various metrics.
The Official World Golf Ranking formula has changed over the years, but it’s safe to say the gap between Scheffler and the rest of golf is the greatest since Woods in his prime. The average points gap between Scheffler and Mcilroy at No. 2 is the roughly the same as Mcilroy and Rasmus Hojgaard at No. 83.
Scheffler has not had a round over par since Aug. 26, the third round of the Tour Championship. Each tournament brings him closer to the astounding mark of Woods’ 52 consecutive rounds at par or better from May 2000 to the end of January 2001. That streak included three majors and nine victories.
But mostly it’s the control from tee to green. Their swings look nothing alike, only the outcome of the shots. As much as Woods was renowned for his power and his putting, his iron play was unmatched. That’s where Scheffler rises above the field.
And so it’s easy to put
them in the same conversation. Scheffler joined Woods as the only players to win The Players Championship and the Masters in the same year. Only three players younger than Scheffler (27) have won two Masters — Woods, Nicklaus and Seve Ballesteros.
Is he the next Woods? That would be miles off, and that only applies to the golf.
The Masters was Scheffler’s 109th start since he began his rookie season on the PGA Tour. His nine victories include two Masters and The Players Championship back to back. The other five wins were against some of the strongest fields.
Through 109 starts from when Woods turned pro, he won 31 times, including seven majors and the career Grand Slam.
For now, it’s not a fair fight.
And there’s little chance Scheffler or anyone can match the worldwide appeal of Woods, a dynamic player and personality who brought a new audience to the sport and was personally responsible for a spike in TV ratings and prize money. He made everyone rich.