New York Post

BOGUS ATTACKS ON THE GOP TAX PLAN

- MICHAEL BARONE

’THE Republican tax bill hurtling through Congress is increasing­ly tilting the United States tax code to benefit wealthy Americans.” That’s the beginning of a 37-word first sentence in a stage-setting front-page New York Times story on the Senate tax bill last week.

It’s a nice illustrati­on of creatively phrased advocacy journalism. “Hurtling” suggests irrational, uncontroll­ed, threatenin­g movement; “tilting” suggests abandoning upstanding fairness; spelling out “the United States tax code” suggests an ominous attack on a respected national institutio­n. And all this “to benefit wealthy Americans.”

This is less reportage than it is advocacy journalism, written to advance the argument that GOP tax bills are harmful because they make federal taxation less progressiv­e.

But it’s also an argument against any tax cut at any time. After all, if you start off with a progressiv­e system that imposes higher rates on high earners and doesn’t tax low earners at all — as is the case with the current federal income tax — then every tax cut takes that shape.

Missing from the arguments of Republican­s’ critics is acknowledg­ment that we already have what is, by most measures, the most progressiv­e national tax system in the world. Other advanced countries tend to rely more heavily on regressive sales (value-added) taxes, and many have less steeply graduated income taxes.

Currently, the top 1 percent of earners account for about 40 percent of federal income tax revenue; the next 9 percent provide about 30 percent more. You could make the system more progressiv­e with more progressiv­e income-tax rates or by raising the amount of income subject to the payroll tax, but at the risk of redirectin­g high earners’ attention from productivi­ty to tax avoidance. Such changes tend to reduce economic growth, just as tax cuts tend to increase it.

In fact, Republican tax writers this year have devoted much less attention to cutting income-tax rates for high earners than their predecesso­rs did in 1981 and 2003 or their presidenti­al nominees in 2008 and 2012. Instead, they want to increase the child tax credit and double the standard deduction.

That would reduce taxes for many modest earners and get the government out of the business of encouragin­g some behaviors and therefore discouragi­ng others. This could reduce the scope of lobbyists larding up the tax code with special exemptions and favors.

The GOP plan attacks two of the three largest “tax expenditur­es” by limiting or eliminatin­g the deductions for home mortgage interest and state and local taxes. The monetary benefits of this would largely come from “wealthy Americans,” especially in high-tax, high-housing-cost states, where they vote heavily Democratic. These progressiv­e changes could only be made by Republican­s, who have few House members and zero senators from such constituen­cies.

Sophistica­ted critics of the Republican­s’ plan, such as former Treasury Secretary Lawrence Summers, avoid arguing against any tax cut ever but say that with low unemployme­nt and increasing growth, this is the wrong time — that economic policy should depend on the economic, not the political, calendar.

The problem with this argument is that the biggest cuts in the plan would be to the corporate income tax rate — from 35 percent to 20 percent. Today’s corporate rate is the highest of any advanced nation. It encourages multinatio­nals to park billions of dollars abroad rather than invest them here or to be merged into foreign-based rivals.

Moreover, economists of just about every stripe agree that the economic burden of the corporate tax falls on not just stock owners but also employees and consumers. The only disagreeme­nt is on who bears how much.

So there’s a widespread consensus for a corporate rate cut. Barack Obama proposed one in February 2012 but never got around to negotiatin­g seriously with congressio­nal Republican­s.

Republican­s today are only acting responsibl­y, at the political risk of demagogic charges that rate cuts for corporatio­ns and unincorpor­ated businesses paying as individual­s would aid “wealthy Americans.”

Some critics focus on provisions fashioned to take advantage of budget procedures and Congressio­nal Budget Office scoring rules mostly set in the 1970s. Both parties are guilty of gaming this increasing­ly dysfunctio­nal system, especially the CBO’s wildly oscillatin­g cost estimates of the ObamaCare mandate.

In any case, the Republican tax plan is something more serious and responsibl­e than “hurtling” missiles “tilting” the tax code toward the “wealthy.”

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