New York Post

Supply-chain pinch no biggie to Pres. Grinch

- By MARK MOORE, LISA FICKENSCHE­R and BRUCE GOLDING markmoore@nypost.com

President Biden downplayed the supply-chain crisis that is bedeviling American consumers as he compared the looming shortage of Christmas presents to past years when fads resulting in popular toys flying off the shelves.

“Now, I can’t promise that every person will get every gift they want on time — only Santa Claus can keep that promise,” Biden said Wednesday.

“But there are items every year that sell out, that are hard to find.”

He added, “Some of you moms and dads may remember Cabbage Patch Kids back in the ’80s or Beanie Babies in the ’90s or other toys that have run out at Christmast­ime in past years when there were no supply-chain problems.”

Biden also tried to reassure shoppers that stores will be stocked in time for Christmas, saying he met Tuesday with CEOs of major US companies — FedEx and UPS — who vowed they’re on track to deliver more packages this year than ever.

But the reality of this holiday season appears to show that it doesn’t matter whether you’ve been naughty or nice — some gifts will still be difficult to find.

The dual effects of the supplychai­n bottleneck and inflation, which is at a three-decade high, have made many basic goods hard to find, including bicycles, cars, clothing, furniture, food and even Christmas trees.

According to Adobe Analytics, which tracks 1 trillion visits to US retail Web sites, out-of-stock messages are up 169 percent from last year and 258 percent from two years ago.

“Supply-chain problems of this magnitude have not happened in recent memory,” said Craig Johnson, president of the Customer Growth Partners consulting and research firm.

“A lot of Christmas stuff is perishable in the sense that the peak demand is in October through December and if the delivery of certain items like coats are dedoesn’t layed, the manufactur­er recover that sale.”

In a pessimisti­c prediction, Johnson added, “We see a $12 billost lion impact in terms of retail sales due to a shipment not arriving on time. That represents about 1.5 percent of fourth-quarCEO ter sales of $813 billion.”

Gerald Storch, a former of Toys ‘R’ Us and Hudson’s Bay Company, which owns Saks Fifth Avenue, said “anything with a computer chip in it is harder to find right now.”

Also scarce, he said, are “any products that were made in Vietnam, where the factories shut down during the Christmas period.”

In a blog post, Juli Lennett, a toy adviser for the NPD Group market-research firm, said, “I made a list of the top selling toys over each of the last four weeks, based on NPD data.

“In my Black Friday visits to three of the top 5 retailers in the

U.S., I was unable to find 14 of the top 34 toys and only six toys were found at all three,” she wrote.

“While visiting alternativ­e store locations and their online sites, I was able to find additional toys that weren’t in stock at the first stores I visited.”

Isaac Larian, CEO of MGA EnL.O.L. tertainmen­t, is among the toy makers struggling with the supply bottleneck.

“I can see an ocean full of containers,” Larian told CNBC of the view from his

Malibu home of ships lined up outside the Port of

Los Angles. “Ship after ship after ship full of containers waiting to unload.”

He said his company’s inventory of

Surprise, Rainbow High and Little Tikes can only meet around 65 percent of its orders. And he expects sales this year to grow by only 18 to 20 percent over last year.

Other popular toys that will be hard to find this year include Tonka Trucks, Hot Wheels Monster Trucks

Stunt Tire Play Set, and LEGO Super Mario Adventures With Mario Starter Course, according to Parade .com.

A survey by accounting firm KPMG found that 82 percent of retail executives polled said they are “somewhat” or “very coninvento­ry cerned” about shortremem­ber ages this year.

“I can’t a time when the concern about inventory was that significan­t,” said Scott Rankin, national advisory leader for the consumer and retail team for the KPMG US Advisory pracRepubl­ican tice in Boston.

The National ComBiden mittee blasted for pushing his $2 trillion Build Back Better social-spending package as Amerchalle­nging icans confront a holiprices, day season. “Skyrocketi­ng empty store shelves and broken supply chains are the hallmarks of Biden’s failed Build Back Broke agenda,” said spokeswoma­n Emma Vaughn in a statement released after the president’s remarks. “Americans are enduring one of the most expensive holiday seasons in history, but this won’t stop Biden and Demopumpin­g crats from trillions in wasteful spending into our economy that will only make inflation worse. If Biden’s plan is empty shelves and higher prices, then he’s right — it’s working,” she said.

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