Northwest Arkansas Democrat-Gazette
Hiring, quitting on the rise; wages remain sluggish.
But hiring, quitting on the rise; wages remain sluggish
WASHINGTON — U.S. employers posted fewer job openings in May. But hiring picked up and more people are quitting their jobs — both positive signs for the economy.
Job openings fell 5 percent in May to 5.7 million, the Labor Department said Tuesday. The setback occurred after advertised job postings nearly reached 6 million in April, a figure that has been revised downward from the initial report. Meanwhile, hiring climbed 8.5 percent to just under 5.5 million.
The data are a sign that the economy at 4.4 percent unemployment is nearing “full employment,” when nearly all those who want a job have one and the unemployment rate mostly reflects the normal churn of people who are temporarily out of work. Typically, when unemployment falls that low, companies are forced to offer more pay, but that hasn’t yet happened.
Jed Kolko, an economist at the jobs site Indeed, said the report “shows what workers do in a tight labor market” in which there are more quits than layoffs and fewer unemployed workers for each job opening.
Workers have certainly become more confident in the past year that they can find jobs.
The number of people quitting their jobs has increased 7.1 percent to 3.2 million. People usually quit when they either find a new job, often at higher pay, or are confident they can soon be hired elsewhere. But even then, Kolko said, the level of churn reflected by people getting hired or leaving their jobs has been lower than it was in the early 2000s, which is consistent with the relatively slow wage gains.
Fewer help-wanted signs in May were possibly a signal that some hiring managers are awaiting more clarity on tax changes and the fiscal policy outlook before expanding employment.
May job openings fell by a meaningful amount in construction and transportation,
● warehousing and utilities. Advertising openings increased for retailers and educational services.
Hiring was most robust in the professional and business services sector in May, as well as educational services.
When unemployment is this low, wages generally rise. But average hourly earnings have increased just 2.5 percent
over the past 12 months, staying ahead of inflation but hardly a substantial pay increase. The last time the unemployment rate was this low, wages were rising by about 4 percent.
The government said Friday that employers added 222,000 jobs in June, and it revised the previous two months’ hiring figures upward.
Friday’s figures represent a net total of jobs added minus jobs lost, while Tuesday’s
report includes overall hiring data.
Those figures are net gains after layoffs, quits and retirements are subtracted from overall hiring.
Tuesday’s data come from the Job Openings and Labor Turnover survey. They are more detailed and provide a fuller view of the job market than the monthly jobs report.