Northwest Arkansas Democrat-Gazette

Worker output inches up in 2Q

Modest increase of 0.9% seen as worrisome for expansion

- Informatio­n for this article was contribute­d by Martin Crutsinger of The Associated Press and Patricia Laya, Vince Golle and Jordan Yadoo of Bloomberg News.

WASHINGTON — The productivi­ty of American workers rose just modestly in the spring, extending a worrisome issue that has persisted throughout this expansion.

Productivi­ty grew at an annual rate of 0.9 percent in the April-June quarter, slightly better than a scant 0.1 percent rate of increase in the first quarter, the Labor Department reported Wednesday. Labor costs edged up at a 0.6 percent rate in the second quarter, a sharp slowdown from a 5.4 percent growth rate in the first quarter.

Productivi­ty, the amount of output per hour of work, has been weak throughout the economic recovery, now in its ninth year. Many analysts say the issue is the biggest economic challenge facing the country.

Without more gains in efficiency, the economy’s socalled speed limit — the pace at which it can expand without stoking inflation — is reduced.

“Despite the recent pickup, productivi­ty growth remains subdued by historical standards,” Barclays PLC economist Blerina Uruçi wrote in a note after the report. “Slow growth in output prices, disappoint­ing productivi­ty trends, and fast-rising unit labor costs have depressed unit profits for companies in recent years and have been one factor preventing wages from picking up at a faster pace.”

For 2016 overall, productivi­ty actually declined — the first fall in 34 years. Productivi­ty last year had previously been reported as a slight increase of 0.2 percent. However, that gain

evaporated as part of the government’s annual benchmark data revisions. It marked the first annual decline in productivi­ty since a 1 percent drop in 1982.

The small improvemen­t in the second quarter reflected the fact that overall economic growth, as measured by the gross domestic product, accelerate­d to a 2.6 percent rate

of increase compared with a 1.2 percent gain in the first quarter.

Since 2007, annual productivi­ty increases have averaged just 1.2 percent. That’s less than half the average annual gains of 2.6 percent logged in 2000 to 2007, when the country was benefiting from increased efficiency from computers and the Internet in the workplace.

Rising productivi­ty means increased output for each hour of work, which allows employers to raise wages without triggering inflation.

The challenge of increasing productivi­ty back to the levels before the recession of 20072009 will be a key factor in determinin­g whether President Donald Trump will achieve his goal of increasing overall growth. The economy’s potential for growth is a combinatio­n of labor force expansion and growth in productivi­ty.

During the campaign, Trump pledged to double growth to 4 percent or better. But since taking office, his administra­tion has projected

a slightly lower but still ambitious goal of pushing annual growth back up to 3 percent. Trump’s first budget projects that faster economic growth will produce $2 trillion in deficit reduction over the next decade, a forecast most private economists view as overly optimistic.

 ?? AP/ELISE AMENDOLA ?? A crew works on a street in downtown Boston in June. Labor costs edged up 0.6 percent in the second quarter, along with a modest rise in worker productivi­ty.
AP/ELISE AMENDOLA A crew works on a street in downtown Boston in June. Labor costs edged up 0.6 percent in the second quarter, along with a modest rise in worker productivi­ty.

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