Northwest Arkansas Democrat-Gazette

Japan, Europe OK deal on trade

Times push EU to new partners

- JACK EWING

President Donald Trump is inciting a trade war, underminin­g NATO and painting Europe as a foe. It’s no wonder, then, that the European Union is looking elsewhere for friends.

On Tuesday in Tokyo, it signed its largest trade deal ever, a pact with Japan that will slash customs duties on products like European wine and cheese, while gradually reducing tariffs on cars. The agreement will cover a quarter of the global economy — by some measures the largest free trade area in the world — and is the latest in a string of efforts either concluded or in the works with countries like Australia, Vietnam and even China.

The deal with Japan — and the others being negotiated — point to a more assertive Europe, one that is looking past the frosty ties with the United States, and even the upcoming withdrawal of Britain from the bloc. In recent months, EU leaders have voiced ever more confident rhetoric in favor of free trade, refusing to back down in the face of the threat of tariffs from Washington and instead aggressive­ly courting new

● relationsh­ips.

But no matter how many barriers to internatio­nal commerce the European Union manages to tear down, its leaders will not change one economic fact of life: The United States remains the Continent’s largest trading partner. There is no escaping the damage from Trump’s campaign against imports like cars and steel.

“The United States is the one big market,” said Holger Schmieding, chief economist at Berenberg, a bank based in Hamburg, Germany. The other accords, he said, are “damage limitation rather than compensati­on.”

European officials began intensifyi­ng efforts to strike trade agreements with other countries after Trump’s election delivered the coup de grace to negotiatio­ns on a far-reaching deal with the United States. Negotiator­s from both sides of the Atlantic had worked since 2013 to eliminate tariffs and harmonize regulation­s for products likes cars and pharmaceut­icals. The talks stalled during the end of the Obama administra­tion and were postponed indefinite­ly at the end of 2016.

Europe did not stand still, continuing instead to pursue other deals.

While the president was threatenin­g to rip up the North American Free Trade Agreement, the European Union was putting final touches on a freetrade pact with Canada. It took effect late last year.

Europe also reached a deal in principle with Mexico to update an existing free-trade agreement, one that should be finalized by the end of the year. Accords with Vietnam and Singapore are going through the final stages of approval.

Negotiatio­ns are also in progress between the European Union and a long list of countries that includes Australia, Chile, Indonesia, New Zealand, Tunisia and the Mercosur countries — Argentina, Brazil, Paraguay and Uruguay. The European Union and India have restarted talks that stalled in 2013.

“It has been a very busy month,” Cecilia Malmstrom, the European commission­er for trade, said in June after returning from a visit to Australia and New Zealand.

Trade deals take years to negotiate and work on the most recent pacts started before Trump was elected. The talks with Japan began in 2012. But Pascal Lamy, former director-general of the World Trade Organizati­on, said that the EU’s diplomatic offensive “fits the notion that you don’t need the U.S. to do open trade.”

The European Union is even negotiatin­g with China. European officials share Americans’ wariness about Chinese intentions. And they do not want to become dependent on China, even though it is on track to surpass the United States as Europe’s largest trading partner in the coming years.

Still, they are taking a different approach. Washington is threatenin­g Beijing with tariffs that could encompass nearly all of China’s imports into the

United States as a way to bring the country to heel. Officials in Brussels, by contrast, are negotiatin­g an agreement that would give their companies more control over investment­s in China, for example by allowing them to own their operations outright rather than requiring them to work with local partners.

China’s ability to cozy up to the European Union is limited, however, by the mistrust that has marked the two powers’ recent relations.

They have sparred over whether sales of Chinese-made solar panels in Europe amounted to dumping. At a meeting last year, they failed to issue a joint statement on climate change because they disagreed on whether China should be considered a “market economy.” The designatio­n would entitle the country to preferenti­al treatment before the WTO.

Last week, German Chancellor Angela Merkel met in Berlin with Li Keqiang, the Chinese premier. They watched as Chinese and German companies signed numerous cooperatio­n agreements. One will allow BASF, the German chemical producer, to spend $10 billion building a wholly owned plant in southern China.

That deal also underscore­s how slow China has been to open up, though.

“There has been a big shift in the messages coming back from European companies based in China, who used to be a strong pro-China lobby but now are very critical,” said Mark Leonard, co-founder and director of the European Council on Foreign Relations.

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