Northwest Arkansas Democrat-Gazette

1,000,000% Venezuelan inflation seen

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Venezuela’s inflation will skyrocket to 1 million percent by the end of the year as the government continues to print money to cover a growing budget hole, the Internatio­nal Monetary Fund predicted on Monday.

The crisis is comparable to that of Germany in 1923 or Zimbabwe in the late 2000s, said Alejandro Werner, head of the IMF’s Western Hemisphere department. He forecast the economy to shrink 18 percent in 2018 — the third-consecutiv­e year of double-digit contractio­ns — as oil production falls significan­tly.

“The collapse in economic activity, hyperinfla­tion, and increasing deteriorat­ion in the provision of public goods as well as shortages of food at subsidized prices have resulted in large migration flows, which will lead to intensifyi­ng spillover effects on neighborin­g countries,” Werner wrote in a blog post.

Venezuela has been suffering a dramatic economic collapse since crude prices nose-dived nearly four years ago and authoritie­s have refused to enact economic adjustment­s. A number of price and exchange controls only added to the distortion­s.

While hundreds of thousands of Venezuelan­s flee hunger and surging prices, President Nicolas Maduro has maintained that the crisis is a result of an “economic war” waged by his political opponents at home and abroad. As the economy unraveled, authoritie­s stopped regularly publishing economic indicators. Economists now rely on independen­t estimates provided by internatio­nal organizati­ons, banks and even Venezuela’s congress to track the country’s economic meltdown.

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