Northwest Arkansas Democrat-Gazette

Fed should ignore Trump

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Wednesday’s Federal Reserve decision to raise interest rates was largely a non-event, given how thoroughly markets had expected it. Nonetheles­s, it offered a comforting reminder that Fed officials know how to do their job—which these days means ignoring public statements from the chief executive and focusing on the economy.

For decades, U.S. presidents have refrained from criticizin­g the central bank in public, allowing it to go about its duty of maintainin­g stable prices and maximum employment in relative peace. Not so President Donald Trump. In recent months, he has repeatedly expressed his dissatisfa­ction with the Fed’s monetary policy, saying that he would prefer an easier-money approach. “I’m not thrilled,” he said in August.

Wednesday, at their first policymaki­ng meeting since the president’s latest comments, Fed officials demonstrat­ed yet again that they will be guided by economic data, which overwhelmi­ngly indicate that the central bank needs to remove stimulus by boosting interest rates. Unemployme­nt is well below what economists see as its natural level, the Fed’s preferred measure of inflation has reached its 2 percent target, and the government is running a budget deficit expected to top $1 trillion in 2019.

“We consider the best thinking, the best theory and the best evidence,” Chairman Jerome Powell said after the decision to raise rates, in response to a question about Trump’s comments. “We don’t consider political factors.”

Congress granted the Fed a measure of independen­ce for good reason: To do what’s right for the economy, it needs to be insulated from the whims of politician­s concerned about the next election. Legislator­s set the central bank’s goals, then leaves it to pursue them as it sees fit. Research and experience have demonstrat­ed that this arrangemen­t works well—it’s what, for example, allowed then-Chairman Paul Volcker to defeat the runaway inflation of the late 1970s. No wonder most of the world’s largest economies have adopted similar approaches.

In deciding what to do with interest rates, the Fed is acting exactly as it should, providing much-needed competence and consistenc­y at a time when those qualities seem in short supply.

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