Northwest Arkansas Democrat-Gazette

How he gets to 51 percent

- Victor Davis Hanson Victor Davis Hanson is a classicist and historian at the Hoover Institutio­n, Stanford University.

President Trump’s challenges are not really his economic policies and foreign affairs agendas. For the most part, they are supported by the American people and are resulting in prosperity at home and security abroad.

The economy continues to deliver nearrecord-low unemployme­nt, wage gains, strong growth and unmatched energy production.

No nation can remain sovereign and secure with insecure borders. There are few ways to stop massive illegal immigratio­n other than building a wall, insisting on employer sanctions, and recalibrat­ing legal immigratio­n to be measured, diverse and meritocrat­ic.

For all the hysteria over Trump’s foreign policy, many observers quietly concede that the U.S. is far tougher on Vladimir Putin and Russia now than Obama was in 2016: stronger sanctions, more help to the Ukrainians, and greater NATO expenditur­es.

America had reached a point of no return with China. It either had to renegotiat­e its enormous trade imbalances and confront regional Chinese aggression­s, or simply acquiesce to China’s agenda of predetermi­ned global superiorit­y. Yet there were few levers other than temporary trade tariffs to force China to trade equitably and to follow global commercial norms.

The status quo that Trump inherited with North Korean nuclear-tipped interconti­nental missiles was an unsustaina­ble propositio­n. So was an Iran deal that would have guaranteed eventual Iranian nuclear capability.

Yet Trump cannot consistent­ly reach 50-percent approval in the polls. And, like most presidents, he experience­d a rebuke in the House during his first midterm elections.

So, what might Trump do to translate his policy successes into 51 percent majority support?

He needs to pick up more minority voter support, perhaps winning about 20 percent of the African-American vote and 40 percent of the Hispanic vote. That is a difficult propositio­n for any Republican in general, and in particular Trump, who is loathed by Democratic and identity-politics activists.

Yet Trump’s economic policies have achieved record-low minority unemployme­nt. His immigratio­n policies will eventually curb illegal immigratio­n and give clout to entry-level workers, who will have less competitio­n from imported low-wage labor.

Trump should go into minority communitie­s and hold frank discussion­s with local leaders, many of whom oppose him politicall­y, about policies geared toward economical­ly empowering inner-city youth.

His message should be that his economic agenda is aimed at ensuring that minority workers regain some clout over employers. In a growing economy short of labor, those who were once bypassed and ignored now for the first time in decades have the ability to choose from among multiple job options and enjoy rising wages.

Trump also must pick up 5 percent to 10 percent more of suburban centrists and Republican voters, many of whom privately support the Trump agenda but publicly recoil at Trump’s sometimes blunt (though usually accurate) assessment­s of political opponents, celebritie­s and foreign nations.

The obvious complaint among these swing voters is not so much with Trump’s substance as with his style, which nonetheles­s appeals to millions in the Trump base who are sick and tired of political hedging and politicall­y correct sentimenta­lism.

Referring to opportunis­t Stormy Daniels as “horse face” or to often-erratic Rep. Adam Schiff as “Little Adam Schitt” is unnecessar­y to secure a base already appreciati­ve of the fact that Trump has done what he said he would do while on the campaign. His gratuitous slurs of enemies turn off voters who otherwise appreciate the security, prosperity and confidence that Trump has returned to America.

In this regard, Trump is at his best when he is funny and self-deprecatin­g—attributes that play especially well in suburbia.

During the Brett Kavanaugh Supreme Court confirmati­on circus, an all-too-human Trump joked, “I never had a glass of alcohol. I never had alcohol, for whatever reason. Can you imagine if I had? What a mess I would be. I would be the world’s worst.”

When Trump campaigns and holds rallies, he is the rare politician who sincerely uses a plural possessive pronoun of endearment to talk of Americans as “our farmers,” “our soldiers,” “our miners” and “our workers.” His speeches about reviving the de-industrial­ized Midwest show more empathy than the usual boilerplat­e from free-trade libertaria­ns or social-welfare liberals.

Trump does not have to win over all minority voters and suburbanit­es. He just needs to recalibrat­e his messaging and re-emphasize his solid achievemen­ts, reminding those he has benefited why and how he has helped them—and why he is not the ogre so often stereotype­d in the media.

Otherwise, Trump will end up getting results without getting political credit for it.

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