Northwest Arkansas Democrat-Gazette

Stocks continue Wall Street high after seesaw day

- DAMIAN J. TROISE AND STAN CHOE

NEW YORK — U.S. stocks pushed further into record heights Friday after an encouragin­g report on hiring across the country, though trading was shaky as the bond market was hit with another day of sharp swings.

The S&P 500 rose 17.47, or 0.4%, to 4,697.53 and clinched an all-time high for the seventh straight day. The Dow Jones Industrial Average gained 203.72, or 0.6%, to 36,327.95, and the Nasdaq composite added 31.28, or 0.2%, to 15,971.59.

Trading was scattersho­t, though, and after climbing to an early gain of 0.8%, the S&P 500 at one point gave up virtually all of it. Stocks retrenched in the middle of the day as Treasury yields surprising­ly slumped. A measure of nervousnes­s in the stock market also made a U- turn higher around the same time.

The 10-year yield, which tends to move with expectatio­ns for the economy and inflation, dropped to 1.45% and is near its lowest level since September. It was at 1.58% just two days earlier. Analysts had varying explanatio­ns for that and other sharp moves in the bond market, which some called counterint­uitive.

The Dow and Nasdaq neverthele­ss still joined the S&P 500 in setting all-time highs.

The smaller stocks in the Russell 2000 performed even better, jumping 1.4%

An encouragin­g report from Pfizer helped to lift the market, particular­ly companies that most need daily life to return to normal from the pandemic. Pfizer rose 10.9% after it said its experiment­al pill sharply cut rates of hospitaliz­ation and death for covid-19 patients. Airlines, casinos, cruise lines and live-event companies had similar jumps.

The headline report of the day was the one from the Labor Department that showed employers hired a net 531,000 workers in October. That was more than 100,000 above economists’ expectatio­ns. The gains were widespread across industries, and the government also revised higher the numbers for job growth in earlier months.

One potential worry spot for markets was a big jump in workers’ wages, up 4.9% from a year earlier, which can feed into concerns about inflation. But the numbers were relatively in line with economists’ expectatio­ns.

“It was one of those Goldilocks reports,” said Nathan Thooft, head of global asset allocation at Manulife Investment Management. Besides showing stronger- than- expected hiring, “the simple reality was it wasn’t showing any overheatin­g either.”

That’s why it was surprising that the 10-year Treasury yield fell so sharply to 1.44% from 1.52% late Thursday.

One possible reason was that investors see more people heading back to work as helping to clear the supply-chain bottleneck­s that have hit the economy and driven up inflation, said Brian Jacobsen, senior investment strategist at Allspring Global Investment­s. That could lead to lowered expectatio­ns for inflation, which would add downward pressure on Treasury yields.

“The more people we get back to fill open positions will help keep that shortage pressure at bay a little bit,” said Matt Stucky, senior portfolio manager at Northweste­rn Mutual Wealth Management Co.

But the degree of moves in the bond market still took market watchers by surprise.

For stocks, the trend has been solidly upward recently as a parade of companies has reported stronger profit for the summer than analysts expected. More than four out of five companies in the S&P 500 have topped forecasts, with roughly 90% of reports in hand, according to FactSet. Companies in the index appear on track to report 39% growth in their quarterly earnings per share over year-ago levels, which would be the third-fastest since 2010.

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