NFL PREDICTIONS Week 5

By Sam Farmer | Los Angeles Times

Record against the spread last week: 6-9-1. Season: 33-30-1.

Giants (3 -1 ) vs. Packers (3 -1 ) in London Sunday, 9:30 a.m. Line: Packers by 8. O/U: 41 ½. The Giants will get their yards on the ground, but they’ll have a tough time passing, especially with Daniel Jones hobbled. Expect a Green Bay victory. Packers 28, Giants 17

Steelers (1 -3 ) at Bills (3 -1 )

Sunday, 1 p.m. Line: Bills by 14. O/U: 45 ½.

The Steelers will get a little emotional bump from Kenny Pickett, but the rookie quarterback will take some chances (and some sacks). Bills 34, Steelers 18

Chargers (2 -2 ) at Browns (2 -2 )

Sunday, 1 p.m. Line: Chargers by 2 ½. O/U: 47 ½. Chargers are the walking wounded, but what else is new? Justin Herbert helps them overcome the Browns — with or without Keenan Allen. Chargers 24, Browns 20

Texans (0 -3 -1 ) at Jaguars (2 -2 )

Sunday, 1 p.m. Line: Jaguars by 7. O/U: 43 ½. The Jaguars bounce back at home, and QB Trevor Lawrence plays better than he did against Philadelphia. Still, Texans tend to play teams closely. Jaguars 28, Texans 23

Dolphins (3 -1 ) at Jets (2 -2 )

Sunday, 1 p.m. Line: Dolphins by 3 ½. O/U: 45 ½. Teddy Bridgewater is going to get Raheem Mostert involved in the screen game, and Miami’s defense is going to turn up the heat on Zach Wilson. Dolphins 30, Jets 21

Titans (2 -2 ) at Commanders (1 -3 )

Sunday, 1 p.m. Line: Titans by 1 ½. O/U: 42 ½. The Titans are well coached and better than they should be. They don’t have a lot of weapons and Treylon Burks is hurt. Titans 24, Commanders 20

Bears (2 -2 ) at Vikings (3 -1 )

Sunday, 1 p.m. Line: Vikings by 7 ½. O/U: 43 ½. Bears are barely throwing the ball, and that’s not going to change. Minnesota stopped Green Bay’s run pretty well and should do the same against Chicago. Vikings 27, Bears 21

Lions (1 -3 ) at Patriots (1 -3 )

Sunday, 1 p.m. Line: Patriots 3 ½. O/U: 45 ½. The Lions score tons of points and give up tons of points. Patriots third-string QB Bailey Zappe doesn’t have a lot of weapons, but he should do pretty well at home. Patriots 23, Lions 21

Seahawks (2 -2 ) at Saints (1 -3 )

Sunday, 1 p.m. Line: Saints by 5 ½. O/U: 45 ½. Geno Smith is playing well, Rashaad Penny is coming off a monster game, and Seattle defenders are keeping stuff in front of them. Saints 27, Seahawks 24

Falcons (2 -2 ) at Buccaneers (2 -2 )

Sunday, 1 p.m. Line: Buccaneers by 10. O/U: 46 ½. The Falcons have put four games of this read-option stuff on tape, and that helps a Tampa Bay defense that should return to form. Buccaneers 31, Falcons 21

4 9 ers (2 -2 ) at Panthers (1 -3 )

Sunday, 4:05 p.m. Line: 49ers by 6 ½. O/U: 39 ½. If Jimmy Garoppolo plays the way he did against the Rams, the 49ers are scary good. Their defense is brutal to match up against. 49ers 30, Panthers 17

Eagles (4 -0 ) at Cardinals (2 -2 )

Sunday, 4:25 p.m. Line: Eagles by 5 ½. O/U: 48 ½. Philadelphia’s defensive and offensive lines dominate in this matchup. Arizona figures to start slowly and then pick up some cosmetic yards in the second half. Eagles 34, Cardinals 23

Cowboys (3 -1 ) at Rams (2 -2 )

Sunday, 4:25 p.m. Line: Rams by 5 ½. O/U: 42 ½. The Rams tend to match up well against Dallas and should be able to bring Cooper Rush back to earth. Rams 24, Cowboys 20

Bengals (2 -2 ) at Ravens (2 -2 )

Sunday, 8:20 p.m. Line: Ravens by 3 ½. O/U: 47 ½. The Bengals are coming on a little bit, and Baltimore’s pass defense is a liability. Bengals 30, Ravens 27

Raiders (1 -3 ) at Chiefs (3 -1 )

Monday, 8:15 p.m. Line: Chiefs by 7 ½. O/U: 51 ½. Division opponents, so this figures to be closer than a lot of people expect. The Raiders need to dump this strategy of trying to slow down games in the second half.