Experts raise alarm on far-right risk
US urged to shift resources in wake of domestic attacks
WASHINGTON — The United States continues to employ a staggering arsenal of armed forces, unmanned drones, intelligence agencies and sweeping domestic authorities to contain a threat — Islamist terrorism — that has claimed about 100 lives on American soil since the nation mobilized after the Sept. 11, 2001, attacks.
No remotely comparable array of national power has been directed against the threat now emerging from the far-right, a loose but lethal collection of ideologies whose adherents have killed roughly the same number of people in the United States, post-9⁄11, as alQaida and the Islamic State combined.
The disparity is a source of growing alarm for officials and experts, some of whom now believe the United States is overdue for a realignment of national security priorities as violence on the far-right escalates.
In the aftermath of a pair of attacks that left dozens dead or wounded in Texas and Ohio, a roster of former high-ranking counterterrorism officials issued a statement this week saying that domestic terrorism should be treated “as high a priority as countering international terrorism has become since 9⁄11.”
Many experts believe that the mobilization in the wake of the attacks on New York and Washington was effective and that the number of Americans killed by Islamist militants would be considerably higher were it not for the far-reaching measures adopted after 9⁄11 — a catastrophic al-Qaida strike that killed nearly 3,000 people.
Still, the 22 people killed in El Paso — after authorities allege the shooter posted a racist screed online — extended a series of at least five fatal attacks over the past year directed at targets selected for racial or religious reasons, including shootings at synagogues in San Diego and Pittsburgh.
And 9⁄11 was preceded by a series of smaller al-Qaida attacks and unaddressed alarms about the group that analysts say should caution current officials about the dangers of inaction.
The prospects for a change in course, however, appear limited — complicated by legal constraints, toxic political currents, the amorphous nature of an adversary that has no discernible structure or Osama bin Laden-like leader, and has burrowed into corners of the internet the way alQaida once hid in the mountain redoubts of Afghanistan.
The numbers of people killed in attacks linked to Islamist radicals or the farright in the United States since 2002 are equivalent — 102 versus 109, respectively, according to data compiled by the think tank New America.
Protecting the public from the most pressing terrorist threat “has been our governing principle for many years now,” said Lisa Monaco, who served as the top counterterrorism adviser to President Barack Obama. Given the surge in attacks linked to the farright, she said, “we need to prioritize our resources and focus on this threat.”
In some ways, the opposite has occurred under President Donald Trump.
Last year, the administration downgraded the position that Monaco previously held, meaning that the top counterterrorism adviser in the White House no longer reports directly to the president.
The administration has also curtailed or disbanded a Department of Homeland Security program that had been created to counter violent extremism by working with regional authorities and organizations to identify those vulnerable to radicalization, whether by Islamist groups or the farright.
The main obstacle to mobilizing against the white supremacist threat, officials said, may be political.
Trump this week denounced the alleged white nationalist sentiments of the suspected killer in El Paso. But his presidency has come to be defined by policies that are aligned with aspects of the white nationalist agenda and his penchant for fanning racial animus.
“This both makes the mobilization more necessary and interferes with that mobilization,” said Dan Byman, a terrorism expert at Georgetown University and a former staff member of the ⁄11 Commission.
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Trump’s words and actions, he said, amplify the danger by emboldening those with radical, racist views, while his signals of tolerance toward such groups — including his comments after violence in Charlottesville, Virginia — undermine his subordinates’ ability to agree upon and organize around the threat.
Trump’s refusal to acknowledge Russian interference in U.S. politics has also contributed to the farright’s rise, experts said.
Since at least 2015, Moscow’s destabilization efforts have included sweeping online operations aimed at sowing racial division in the United States by promoting the positions of white nationalists.
A social media study by researcher J.M. Berger concluded that alt-right networks online are dominated by intersecting themes: “support for U.S. President Donald Trump, support for white nationalism, opposition to immigration (often framed in anti-Muslim terms).”
The latter is an area in which the response to 9⁄11 — with its wars in Afghanistan and Iraq and multibilliondollar investments in border security aimed at blocking entry to radicalized Muslims — may have fostered xenophobic attitudes that contributed to the rise of the far-right.
There are indications that U.S. national security agencies are beginning to shift toward the far-right threat.
FBI Director Christopher Wray recently testified that the bureau had made about 100 domestic terrorism arrests in the past nine months and that “a majority of the domestic terrorism cases we’ve investigated are motivated by some version of what you might call white supremacist violence.”
But others said the almost singular reliance on the bureau to disrupt farright networks underscores the extent to which the government has failed to adapt.
Nicholas Rasmussen, who served three years as director of the National Counterterrorism Center, said that attacks linked to al-Qaida or the Islamic Statewere invariably followed by “all-hands” meetings at the White House. Among those assembled were often the heads of the Pentagon, the CIA, and the Treasury and State departments.
“But I suspect that didn’t happen this weekend at the White House,” he said. “If it had happened in the Obama or Bush White Houses, I’m not sure it would have either. Because as soon as you hear ‘domestic,’ everybody reverts to ‘Well, the FBI has the ball.’ ”