Orlando Sentinel

41M jobless in pandemic; layoff rate starts to slow 2.1M Americans sought unemployme­nt aid last week

- By Christophe­r Rugaber

WASHINGTON — Roughly 2.1 million people applied for U.S. unemployme­nt benefits last week, a sign that companies are still slashing jobs in the face of a deep recession even as more businesses reopen and rehire some laid-off employees.

About 41 million people have now applied for aid since the virus outbreak intensifie­d in March, though not all are still unemployed.

The Labor Department’s report Thursday includes a count of all the people now receiving unemployme­nt aid: 21 million. That is a rough measure of the number of unemployed Americans.

The national jobless rate was 14.7% in April, the highest since the Great Depression, and many economists expect it will near 20% in May.

States are gradually restarting their economies by letting some businesses — from gyms, retail shops and restaurant­s to hair and nail salons — reopen with restrictio­ns.

As some of these employers, including automakers, have recalled a portion of their laid-off employees, the number of people receiving unemployme­nt benefits has fallen.

First-time applicatio­ns for unemployme­nt aid, though still high, have now fallen for eight straight weeks.

In addition to those who applied last week, an additional 1.2 million applied under a new program for self-employed and gig workers, who are eligible for jobless aid for the first time.

These figures aren’t adjusted for seasonal variations, so the government doesn’t include them in the overall data.

Analysts are monitoring incoming economic data to gauge how consumers are responding as many retail establishm­ents gradually reopen.

Jobs won’t return in any significan­t way as long as Americans remain slow to resume spending at their previous levels.

Data from Chase Bank credit and debit cards show that consumers have slowly increased their spending since the government distribute­d stimulus checks in mid-April.

Consumer spending had plunged 40% in March compared with a year earlier but has since rebounded to 20% below year-ago levels.

Most of that increase has occurred in online shopping, which has recovered to pre-virus levels after having tumbled about 20%.

But offline spending, which makes up the vast majority of consumer spending, is still down 35% from a year ago, according to Chase, after having plummeted 50% at its lowest point.

By historical standards, the number of weekly applicatio­ns remains enormous in the country.

The job cuts reflect an economy that was seized by the worst downturn since the Great Depression after the virus forced the widespread shutdown of businesses.

The economy is thought to be shrinking in the April-June quarter at an annual rate approachin­g 40%.

That would be, by far, the quarterly contractio­n on record.

worst

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