Summit with Kim could foretell a disaster with Putin
United States “a World Series of unforced errors.” The result was that North Korea “walked away with a joint communique that read almost as if it had been drafted by the DPRK [Democratic People’s Republic of Korea] ministry of foreign affairs.”
Mr. Kim, says Mr. Eberstadt, is “the boss of a staterun crime cartel that a U.N. Commission of Inquiry wants to charge with crimes against humanity.” Au contraire, said America’s president, who slathered Mr. Kim with praise: Mr. Kim, with whom Donald Trump has “a very special bond,” is a “talented man” who “loves his country,” which reciprocates with “a great fervor.” Mr. Trump called Mr. Kim a “very worthy negotiator,” which might actually have made sense if Mr. Kim had been forced to negotiate for the concessions that Mr. Trump dispensed gratis.
North Korea, Mr. Eberstadt says, is committed to what he calls its “racial socialism,” which motivates Mr. Kim’s “central and sacred mission,” which is “nonnegotiable” — the unconditional reunification of the Korean Peninsula. This presupposes extermination of the South Korean state, which requires the policy Mr. Kim announced last New Year’s Day — to “massproduce nuclear warheads and missiles and speed up their deployment.”
Mr. Eberstadt: “Such a program would not be necessary for regime legitimation, or for international military extortion, or even to ensure the regime’s survival: All of those objectives could surely be satisfied with a limited nuclear force. Why then threaten the U.S. homeland?” America is the guarantor of South Korea’s security, and if Washington can be made to blink at a time and place of Pyongyang’s choosing, the U.S.-South Korea alliance will end, as will the U.S. security presence there. Hence the delusional nature of Mr. Trump’s belief: One one-day meeting sufficed to cause the North Korean regime to abandon its raison d’etre.
In addition to the legitimation supplied to Pyongyang by the pageantry of the summit for which Mr. Trump obviously hungered, the official record of the Singapore deliberations reveals no U.S. interest in Pyongyang’s atrocious human rights practices ( “unparalleled in the modern world,” Mr. Eberstadt says) that raise doubts about the fervor with which North Koreans appreciate the supreme leader’s love for them.
In return for Mr. Trump’s promise to halt militaryreadiness operations, Mr. Kim gave nothing — no inventory of his nuclear weapons and ballistic missiles, nothing beyond North Korea’s decades-old commitment to “denuclearization” of the Korean Peninsula, an opaque goal that means only that Pyongyang is not clearly committed to anything — beyond a pre-summit promise to decommission a no-longer-usable nuclear test site. The New Year’s Day vow has not been disavowed.
Singapore was, Mr. Eberstadt believes, probably the greatest diplomatic coup for North Korea since 1950 and a milestone on “the DPRK’s road to establishing itself as a permanent nuclear power.” And the sanctions that were the Trump administration’s strategy of “maximum pressure” will be difficult to maintain now that a “defanged” — Mr. Eberstadt’s description — Mr. Trump has declared the nuclear threat banished.
The most dangerous moment of the Trump presidency will arrive when he, who is constantly gnawed by insecurities and the fear of not seeming what he is not ( “strong”), realizes how weak and childish he seems to all who cast a cool eye on Singapore’s aftermath. The danger is of him lashing out in wounded vanity.
Meanwhile, this innocent abroad is strutting toward a meeting with the cold-eyed Russian who is continuing to dismantle one of Europe’s largest nations, Ukraine.
Mr. Putin probably is looking ahead to ratcheting up pressure on one of three small nations, Lithuania, Latvia or Estonia, each a member of the NATO alliance that, for the first time in its 69 years, is dealing with a U.S. president who evinces no admiration for what NATO has accomplished or any understanding of its revived importance — as the hard man in Moscow, who can sniff softness, relishes what Singapore revealed.