Abortion issue helps limit Dems’ losses
Republicans are likely to take control of the House when all the votes are counted, but Democrats were celebrating after their party defied expectations of substantial losses in the midterm election. The backlash over the Supreme Court’s decision in June to overturn 49 years of abortion rights was apparently a big reason.
Inflation and the economy proved the most important voting issue, cited as the motivation of 51 percent of voters in exit polls conducted by the Associated Press and analyzed by KFF pollsters. But abortion was the single-most important issue for a quarter of all voters, and for a third of women under age 50. Exit polls by NBC News placed the importance of abortion even higher, with 32 percent of voters saying inflation was their top voting issue and abortion ranking second at 27 percent.
The predicted “red wave” of Republicans toppling Democrats in the House and Senate didn’t happen, although it seemed likely that Republicans would gain the handful of seats they needed to take over the House majority.
In the Senate, where Republicans needed just one pickup to take control, no incumbent had officially lost, and Democrats captured the Pennsylvania seat being vacated by Republican Sen. Pat Toomey. In recent decades, the party that controls the White House has generally suffered serious setbacks in congressional power in the midterms.
Among other issues facing voters, residents of South Dakota approved an expansion of Medicaid under the Affordable Care Act. That made it the seventh state to expand the program over the objections of a Republican governor and/or state legislature. Previous successful initiatives passed in Idaho, Maine, Missouri, Nebraska, Oklahoma, and Utah. South Dakota’s approval will reduce to 11 the number of states that haven’t expanded the program to people with incomes up to 138 percent of the federal poverty level, although included in that list are the heavily populated states of Texas, Florida, and Georgia.
On the issue of abortion rights, voters in five states across the political spectrum showed direct support through ballot initiatives. In the most closely watched of those measures, Michigan voters approved a constitutional amendment guaranteeing reproductive freedom, thus preventing a ban from 1931 from taking effect.
Kentucky voters narrowly rejected an amendment that would have declared in its constitution there was no right to abortion. That made it the first Southern state to express direct support for abortion rights.
Other abortion rights ballot questions were approved in Vermont and California. The California measure, which passed with 65 percent of the vote, enshrined the rights to both abortion and contraception.
In Montana, a ballot measure to require infants born alive after attempted abortions be given medical care was losing with 80 percent of the votes in. Such a requirement already exists in federal law.
In addition, in several key states where the legality of abortion hangs in the balance, governors and candidates who favor abortion rights defeated anti-abortion challengers, including Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, and Michigan.
Abortion was also an issue in contested Supreme Court elections in at least six states, where challenges to abortion laws or constitutional interpretations could decide whether the procedure remains legal. One state saw party control of its high court flip: North Carolina, where a Republican challenger defeated a Democratic incumbent to give the GOP a 4-3 majority. Democratic judicial majorities appeared to be holding in Illinois and in Michigan, which holds nonpartisan judicial elections after the candidates are nominated by political parties. In Ohio, Republicans kept their majority on the high court.
In Kentucky, Justice Michelle Keller defeated challenger Joe Fischer, a Republican state legislator who sponsored Kentucky’s abortion trigger law. Montana incumbent Justice Ingrid Gustafson defeated her challenger, James Brown, a Republican endorsed by the state’s GOP governor and party leaders seeking to reverse a 1999 court ruling that the state constitution protects the right to an abortion.
Abortion wasn’t the only health issue on state ballots.
In Arizona, a ballot question to limit interest on medical debt won easily with 66 percent of the vote counted. In Oregon, however, a mostly unenforceable question declaring a “right to health care” in the state constitution was losing narrowly with 64 percent of the votes in.
California voters approved a ban on the sale of most flavored tobacco products while voters in Massachusetts supported dentists over insurance companies in approving a requirement at least 83 percent of dental insurance premiums be spent on direct dental care. Massachusetts is the first state to impose such a requirement.
In Iowa, gun rights advocates scored a victory with easy passage of a constitutional amendment declaring Iowans have “a fundamental individual right” to keep and bear arms, and any restrictions on guns must stand up to “strict scrutiny” in court.