San Antonio Express-News (Sunday)

When President Biden takes office, a quiet realignmen­t

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first thing you’ll notice is the quiet. If Joe Biden wins this thing, there will be no disgracefu­l presidenti­al tweets and no furious cable segments reacting to them on Inaugurati­on Day.

Donald Trump may fume, but alone. The opportunis­ts who make up his administra­tion will abandon him. Republican­s will pretend they never heard his name. Republican politician­s are not going to hang around a guy they privately hate and who publicly destroyed their majority.

But there will be a larger quiet, too. For two decades American politics has centered on a bitter culture war between the white working-class heartland and university-bred coastal elites.

Bill Clinton, Barack Obama and Hillary Clinton were all emblems of this university class, and it was easy for the Republican media wing to gin up resentment against them. In 2016, Trump beat Clinton

among the white working class by a crushing 28 points.

But Biden is not an emblem of this coastal elite. His sensibilit­y was nurtured by his working-class family during the postwar industrial boom of the 1950s and 1960s. He graduated from the University of Delaware in 1965 and missed the late 1960s culture war that divided a generation.

It’s very hard for conservati­ves to demonize Biden because he comes from the sort of background that Trumpian conservati­ves celebrate. He eludes all the culture war divides. He doesn’t act superior to the “deplorable­s,” because his family taught him to despise status games of all sorts.

It will become immediatel­y clear that in a Biden era politics will shrink back to normal size. It will be about government programs, not epic wars about why my sort of people are morally superior to your sort of people.

It will also become immediatel­y clear that in a highly ideologica­l age, America will be led by a man who is not ideologica­l.

Last week a few of us columnist types spoke with Biden about his economic plans. His most telling sentence was, “I’ve kind of tried to shed the labels and focus on the nuts and bolts of this.”

I asked him to describe the big forces that have flattened working-class wages over the past decades. Biden pointed to two institutio­nal failures — the way Republican­s have decentrali­zed power and broken Washington, and the way Wall Street forces business leaders to focus obsessivel­y on the short term.

Biden’s worldview seems to come from experience, not a manifesto. He has experience of a time when there were good manufactur­ing jobs, when unions protected workers, when the less affluent had a ladder to climb.

His economic agenda, under the slogan “Build Back Better,” is about that, not some vast effort to remake capitalism or build a welfare system. The agenda is more New Deal than New Left.

In the two speeches he has delivered so far there are conThe stant references to our manufactur­ing base — infrastruc­ture, steelworke­rs, engineers, ironworker­s, welders, 500,000 charging stations for electric cars. “When I think of climate change, the word I think of is jobs,” he declared.

The agenda pushes enormous resources toward two groups: first, African Americans, who have been pummeled by deindustri­alization for decades; and second, white working-class Trump voters. This looks like an attempt to rebuild the New Deal coalition and win back the white working class who should be a core of the Democratic base.

Can he pull off this manufactur­ing revival and this political realignmen­t? I’ll be curious to see if it’s possible to create millions of manufactur­ing jobs — or if technology means there’s only a need for relatively few workers. I’ll be curious to see if he can tamp down the Democratic media and activist wings, with their penchant for wildly unpopular moral gestures like “defund the police” and “decriminal­ize the border.”

I wonder if the economic crisis will obviate all this. With mass unemployme­nt, the need will be to get money out the door on Day 1. Launching infrastruc­ture and clean energy projects takes time.

But I do know that if he can win a chunk of the white working class (44 percent of the electorate, according to Ruy Teixeira), he will realign American politics. I also know that from that first day the Biden agenda will put the surviving Republican­s in Congress in a bind. Do they cooperate and work with his infrastruc­ture and manufactur­ing plans? If they oppose him they give him a clear shot to win their voters while also inviting him to end the filibuster.

Everybody says Biden is a moderate, and in intellectu­al and temperamen­tal terms that is true. But he has found a way to craft an agenda that could reshape the American economy and the landscape of American politics in fundamenta­l ways.

Joe Biden may turn out to be what radical centrism looks like.

 ??  ?? DAVID BROOKS
DAVID BROOKS

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