Bucs will need to run, can’t rely solely on Brady’s arm
TAMPA, Fla. — In a perfect world, this weekend turns into something legendary. A head-to-head showdown of the two most prolific quarterbacks the NFL has ever known. Tom Brady vs. Drew Brees with the entire season, and a generation of memories, on the line.
But before that can happen, the Buccaneers are going to have to run the football. Seriously, effectively, faithfully run the ball.
There’s nothing optional about this. We’ve already seen what happens when the Bucs become one-dimensional against New Orleans, and it isn’t worth three hours of your Sunday.
The problem is, I’m not sure the Bucs are capable of pulling it off.
Head coach Bruce Arians disagrees, and he’s obviously a lot smarter about these things than I am. Arians correctly points out that Tampa Bay’s inability to run in the second New
Orleans game had a lot to do with turnovers and a score that got lopsided in a hurry.
“The first game,” he said, “we ran the ball pretty well at times.”
That’s true, depending on your standards. The Bucs finished the game with 86 rushing yards (not bad) on 26 carries (not good). That works out to 3.3 yards per run, which isn’t terribly efficient. Even worse, 11 of those yards came on the final play of the game when the Bucs were just trying to get out of the Superdome without further embarrassment. That means, for the first 59:37, the Bucs gained 75 yards on 25 carries.
The Bucs were often in passing situations because they weren’t picking up much yardage on first down, and it didn’t help that the Saints seemed to have no fear of Tampa Bay’s ability to run.
Between the two games, the Bucs called 17 running plays on first down and gained 2 yards or less on 10 of those plays. That’s an atrocious rate, and it has nothing to do with the score being lopsided.
Now, it must be said, the Bucs were not alone in this predicament. The Saints were fourth in the NFL in run defense, so there were a lot of teams running into this particular brick wall. In fact, the most effective way to beat New Orleans in 2020 was with an old-fashioned ground attack. The Saints were 2-4 when giving up 98 or more rushing yards, which means they were 10-0 the rest of the time.
That’s why the Bucs cannot count on Brady to bail them out on Sunday.
That doesn’t mean he won’t be crucial to the outcome, and it doesn’t mean he isn’t capable of having a big day.
We’ve seen enough of Brady at age 43 to know he is still capable of magic. This weekend would be a perfect time for another Brady memory, but the Tampa Bay running game has to give him a chance.