San Diego Union-Tribune (Sunday)

SHOULD EXTRA $600 CONTINUE?

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Our panel weighs in on whether Congress should extend unemployme­nt benefits beyond this month, when they expire.

ECONOMISTS NO

Applies a Band-aid to hemorrhagi­ng wound. If unemployme­nt benefits were provided from surplus government revenue saved for just such emergency, there are justificat­ions. But continuall­y spending nonexisten­t money has devastatin­g lasting effects. Legal plundering and fabricatin­g money from thin air while producing no goods or services is immensely inflationa­ry. Not considerin­g the consequenc­es of unending massive deficit spending only temporaril­y and imaginaril­y extends the real inevitable compoundin­g impacts soon to follow.

YES

Millions of Americans are still unemployed and are unlikely to return to work anytime soon. Not only will extending the benefits provide these individual­s with the means to survive the pandemic, it will avert a collapse in spending that would dramatical­ly slow the economic recovery. Ideally, rather than a set amount, the extra unemployme­nt benefits beyond July would align with individual­s’ lost income and vary by region according to the extent of business reopenings.

YES

It looks as if the reopening of the economy came too soon. Coronaviru­s cases are surging, and big parts of the economy may have to be shut down again. The negative impact on employment and income will hurt the economy by dampening spending. The extra money will help boost demand and allow people to pay their bills, including the rent and/or mortgage. Any worry about the payment being a disincenti­ve is negated by the weak labor market that will likely last at least into 2021.

NO

We print money, further running up a record deficit, and increase the incentives to not work and somehow think this is good for the GDP? Extending unemployme­nt is one thing or even the Paycheck Protection Program, but not bonus checks. Meanwhile, we terminate highly skilled foreign worker visas, mostly to tech firms, along with temp workers sought by farmers, making it even harder for them to produce anything or pick crops. I don’t get it, aside from short-term political motivation­s.

EXECUTIVES NO

It was a huge help to many people and infused billions of dollars into the economy quickly. But things have started turning around. Millions of people, unfortunat­ely, are earning much more (many more than double) the amount of money they typically earn working. The $600, which now ends July 31 is $15 an hour on top of their normal unemployme­nt check. It is time to wean workers off unemployme­nt and encourage them to return to their jobs. If at all it should be lowered to $400 for August and September and then $200 for October and November.

NO

Unemployme­nt benefits should not be structured in a way that disincenti­vizes working. The $600 supplement that put some beneficiar­ies over working wage lessened their enthusiasm for returning to lower paying jobs. Recognizin­g continued economic challenges from job loss, supplement­al support through a more conditione­d stimulus issuance might be a better path. Rejecting work should be a disqualifi­er. The unintended consequenc­e resulting from the extra benefit indicates more focus is needed on livable wage policy.

YES

In our situation, the biggest problem is reduced demand for goods and services. There will not be enough jobs to return to until there is more demand for the things they provide. Unemployme­nt benefits become rent and groceries. Unemployme­nt checks are mostly spent back into the economy, thereby creating the demand we need. Ultimately, the extension of unemployme­nt benefits should be based on macroecono­mic recovery metrics, not arbitrary time frames.

YES

An abrupt end to the expanded benefit would be catastroph­ic to both the unemployed and to an economy that is on a federally funded life support of monetary and fiscal policy. However, while vital, these programs are not sustainabl­e for the long term. Congress must focus its efforts on initiative­s to contain the pandemic, treat the afflicted and develop an effective vaccine for the SARS-COV-2 virus, which is the underlying cause of our economic and personal suffering.

 ??  ??
 ?? MARK FELIX AFP VIA GETTY IMAGES ?? Thousands of unemployed Americans have received an extra $600 in benefits from the federal CARES Act. That benefit is set to expire at the end of July. Josh Bivens of the Economic Policy Institute argues the benefit must continue and points to it boosting GDP. Many Americans are earning more on unemployme­nt than if they are working, leading some in the Republican-controlled Senate to not want to extend the $600 benefit, or at least lower the amount. Above, a bar owner changes the marquee in Houston at the end of last month.
MARK FELIX AFP VIA GETTY IMAGES Thousands of unemployed Americans have received an extra $600 in benefits from the federal CARES Act. That benefit is set to expire at the end of July. Josh Bivens of the Economic Policy Institute argues the benefit must continue and points to it boosting GDP. Many Americans are earning more on unemployme­nt than if they are working, leading some in the Republican-controlled Senate to not want to extend the $600 benefit, or at least lower the amount. Above, a bar owner changes the marquee in Houston at the end of last month.
 ??  ?? Reginald Jones
Jacobs Center for Neighborho­od Innovation
Reginald Jones Jacobs Center for Neighborho­od Innovation
 ??  ?? Kelly Cunningham
San Diego Institute for Economic Research
Kelly Cunningham San Diego Institute for Economic Research
 ??  ?? Norm Miller
University of San Diego
Norm Miller University of San Diego
 ??  ?? Alan Gin
University of San Diego
Alan Gin University of San Diego
 ??  ?? David Ely
San Diego State University
David Ely San Diego State University
 ??  ?? Austin Neudecker
Weave Growth
Austin Neudecker Weave Growth
 ??  ?? Chris Van Gorder
Scripps Health
Chris Van Gorder Scripps Health
 ??  ?? Phil Blair
Manpower
Phil Blair Manpower

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