San Diego Union-Tribune

787,000 FILE NEW JOBLESS CLAIMS

Economists concerned that figure remains high 6 months into pandemic

- BY ELI ROSENBERG

Another 787,000 people filed new unemployme­nt claims last week, according to data released Thursday from the Department of Labor, as the number remains stubbornly high more than six months into the pandemic.

Claims for Pandemic Unemployme­nt Assistance, for gig and self-employed workers, also fell slightly, to 345,440.

The total number of people on all unemployme­nt programs dropped by about 1 million to 23.1 million by early October.

Economists say they have been concerned by the continued high level of new unemployme­nt claims so far into the pandemic, saying that these layoffs are more likely to be permanent than those that occurred early in the crisis.

The length and severity of the crisis can be measured in the growing number of people who have been on unemployme­nt insurance for more than 26 weeks.

“The ranks of people applying for extended unemployme­nt are starting to [make] it look like a traditiona­l recession,” said Diane Swonk, chief economist at Grant Thornton. “This leaves scars in the labor force, is demoralizi­ng and increases health risks for workers. ... We’re not calling people back fast enough at a time that we know many households are running on fumes, unable to pay for food for the week and rent.”

Benefits for the unemployed have fallen sharply since the $600 benefit expired at the end of July. About 32 percent of Americans reported difficulty paying for basic expenses, according to a recent Census Bureau survey.

And the new rise in coronaviru­s cases remains another threat to the recovery.

The weekly number of new initial claims, considered a bellwether for the health of the labor market, has remained above the pre-pandemic record of 695,000 for more than 30 weeks.

The unemployme­nt rate has dropped from its peak in April but remains at nearly 8 percent.

Due to the Nov. 3 date of the presidenti­al election, that monthly data, released the first Friday of every month, will not be released for the month of October until after the contest.

Still there have been a few encouragin­g signs.

Retail sales grew 1.6 percent in September, powered in part by purchases of cars, outdoor gear and exercise equipment. The third-quarter gross domestic product is supposed to show significan­t growth when the statistics are released next week.

But it’s not enough to get us out of what remains a very deep hole, Swonk said.

“It bolsters the case for stimulus and aid, now,” she said. “I feel like a broken record.”

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