San Diego Union-Tribune

Challenges exist despite solid output

- Smialek writes for The New York Times.

includes Rock House Farm furniture brands such as Hancock & Moore and Century Furniture.

Yet the same forces that are making it difficult for overseas manufactur­ers to sell their goods in the United States — and giving U.S. workers a chance to command higher wages — are also throwing up obstacles.

Many companies are dependent on parts from overseas, which have been harder — and more expensive — to obtain. Too few skilled workers are seeking jobs in the industry to fill open positions, and businesses are unsure how long the demand will last, making some reluctant to invest in new factories or to expand to towns with bigger potential labor pools.

“We would love to expand capacity,” Guyer said, “but we’re the furniture mecca of North Carolina; every other furniture company is in the same boat we are.”

Even if there were enough workers, said Alex Shuford, CEO of the company that owns Rock House Farm furniture brands, “the surge isn’t going to last as long as it would take to go to a completely trained workforce and get them up to speed.”

The current moment, he added, “is abnormal in every way and not sustainabl­e in any way.”

For now, companies in Hickory are seeing a huge upswing thanks to strong demand and limited supply. Prices for couches, beds, kitchen tables and bedding have shot up this year, climbing 12 percent nationally through October. Furniture and bedding make up a small slice of the basket of goods and services that the inflation measure tracks — right around 1 percent — so that increase has not been enough to drive overall prices to uncomforta­ble levels on its own. But the rise has come alongside a bump in car, fuel, food and rent costs that have driven inflation to 6.2 percent, the highest level in 31 years.

The question for policymake­rs and consumers alike is how long the surge in demand and the limitation­s in supply will last. A key part of the answer lies in how quickly shipping routes can clear up and whether producers like the craftsmen in Hickory can ramp up output to meet booming demand. But at least domestical­ly, that is proving to be a more challengin­g task than one might imagine.

On a wet morning in late October, the sound of electrical sanders whirring and the steady thunks of a craftsman planing a chair leg echoed through one of Century Furniture’s cavernous warehouses. The factory once housed 600 workers tending assembly lines. Now about 250 busily construct tables, chairs and desks.

The plant typically has 2,000 orders in the pipeline, but these days the number is closer to 4,000, said Brandon Mallard, its manager. Deliveries of ordered furniture used to happen within six to eight weeks; now they can take six months.

The supply chain problems afflicting nearly every industry are hitting Century. Dresser drawer handles are trapped on container ships somewhere between Vietnam and North Carolina. For some products, imported wood has faced delays.

Component delivery dates “just keep moving out,” Mallard said.

Labor has also been a challenge. Employees at

Century have been working overtime to catch up with the backlog, but workers burn out, and furniture margins are so thin that paying overtime labor rates can eat into profits. Several of Shuford’s brands have been raising prices, but because pieces are preordered weeks or months in advance, they have sometimes failed to increase them quickly enough to keep up.

Chad Ballard, 31, has gone from making $15 per hour building furniture in Hickory at the start of the pandemic to $20 as he moved into a more specialize­d role.

Ballard said he came to town four years ago after working constructi­on jobs and at tree services in Florida. He was ready for something more stable and less weather-exposed, and he found it in furniture making. The job has provided stability and enough financial security that he was able to pay off his Jeep and make plans to buy a house with his wife, who also works in the industry.

But there is a flip side to some of the factors that are helping to buoy workers like Ballard: If inflation continues to rise in the hot-demand economy, it will mean rising costs for them and other consumers that eat into paychecks and make it harder to afford everyday necessitie­s like food and shelter. Already, the heating economy means that Ballard’s goal of buying a house will be slightly tougher. The typical price for a house in Hickory has shot up 21 percent over the past year to $199,187, according to data from Zillow.

Hickory’s furniture industry was struggling to hire even before the coronaviru­s struck. It has a particular­ly old labor force because a generation of talent eschewed an industry plagued by layoffs tied to offshoring. Now too few young people are entering it to replace those who are retiring.

Local companies have been automating — Hancock & Moore uses a new digital leather-cutting machine to save on labor — and they have been working to train employees more proactivel­y.

Several of the larger firms sponsor a local community college’s furniture academy. On a recent Thursday night, employers set up booths at a jobs fair there, forming a hopeful ring around the doorway of the school’s warehouse, welcoming potential candidates with branded lanyards and informatio­nal material. It was the first furniture-specific event of its kind.

But progress is slow as companies try to assure a new — and smaller — generation of young people that the field is worth pursuing. Corporate representa­tives far outnumbere­d job seekers for much of the night.

“It’s such a tough market to find people,” said Bill McBrayer, human resources manager at Lexington Home Brands. Companies are turning to short-term workers, but even firms specializi­ng in temporary help cannot find people.

“I’ve been in this business 35 years,” he said, “and it’s never been like this.”

 ?? TRAVIS DOVE THE NEW YORK TIMES ?? The upholstery floor at Century Furniture plant in Hickory, N.C., which is facing supply chain problems.
TRAVIS DOVE THE NEW YORK TIMES The upholstery floor at Century Furniture plant in Hickory, N.C., which is facing supply chain problems.

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