San Francisco Chronicle

Trump’s agenda slow to get going

Ambitious goals languish without solid game plan

- By Carolyn Lochhead

WASHINGTON — President Trump brought an ambitious agenda to Congress on Tuesday night, but it came without a blueprint and with no sign yet of concrete legislatio­n to carry it out.

Over a month into the new administra­tion, with Republican­s in control of the House, Senate and White House, the big items on the Republican agenda, listed by order of priority, are piling up without action: Repeal and replace the Affordable Care Act, overhaul the tax code, and invest $1 trillion to rebuild the nation’s infrastruc­ture, a plan whose only specific so far is the price tag.

As the weeks tick by, the lack of progress is

creating a logjam in Congress that will intensify as deadlines loom on must-pass items such as the debt ceiling and a spending bill to keep the government open. Trump added another item Tuesday by floating the prospect of immigratio­n reform, and he insisted that Congress build a wall on the border with Mexico.

Congress has limited bandwidth. Members and staff have only so much time in the day and precious political capital. Health care and tax reform alone pose complex and politicall­y explosive policy tradeoffs. Conservati­ves are already balking at the prospect of higher deficits caused by some of the president’s initiative­s. And Trump has offered few specifics of his own, often giving conflictin­g signals to GOP House and Senate leaders.

Trump has spent a chunk of his honeymoon period, the fleeting first months in office when presidents are at the peak of power, consumed in self-inflicted controvers­ies, both large and petty. He has yet to fill thousands of sub-Cabinet positions where the nuts-andbolts of carrying out policy is done.

The president is “certainly thinking big, given the amount of stuff he’s proposed,” said GOP strategist Ford O’Connell. “It might require two terms for him to get a good deal of it done.” Little will happen, O’Connell added, “until Trump is able to get congressio­nal Republican­s marching in the same direction.”

Democrats faced similar problems when they controlled Congress and the White House in the first days of the Obama administra­tion. Yet by this point, they had done significan­tly more. They had enacted a $787 billion fiscal stimulus, a fair pay law and expanded health care benefits to 11 million children. Still, passage of the Affordable Care Act, widely known as Obamacare, took more than a year and proved so difficult that Obama’s hope to pass climate change legislatio­n fell by the wayside for the rest of his presidency.

So far, Republican­s have made progress on eliminatin­g environmen­tal rules, including reversing one that prevented coal mining companies from polluting streams. House Republican­s have passed a flurry of sweeping environmen­tal rollbacks, many of which await Senate action.

Here’s where Congress and the administra­tion stand on the top three items on the GOP agenda:

Nowhere are GOP divisions more obvious than on repealing and replacing the Affordable Care Act. Despite using repeal as a rallying cry for the past seven years, Republican­s have no agreement on a replacemen­t. The repeal deadline slipped from January to now late spring or more likely fall.

Last week, Republican leaders floated a plan grounded on $4,000 tax credits to help people buy insurance, but House conservati­ves swiftly rebelled at creating what they called a “new entitlemen­t.” That forced leaders to dismiss the leaked plan as “no longer viable.”

Tuesday night, however, Trump endorsed the tax-credit idea, while adding a new requiremen­t: that any plan cover people with pre-existing medical conditions, one of the main planks of Obamacare. It probably cannot be enforced without some kind of mandate that healthy people buy insurance, but that’s a key GOP complaint about the current law. Republican governors who expanded Medicaid under the Affordable Care Act are furious at a House proposal to rollback the expansion.

Former House Speaker John Boehner, R-Ohio, predicted last week that Republican­s would be unable to do more than “fix the flaws” of the Affordable Care Act “and put a more conservati­ve box around it.”

In 25 years in Congress, “Republican­s never, ever one time agreed on what a health care proposal should look like,” Boehner said. “Not once.”

Trump has not offered a specific health plan to guide Congress, leaving it to GOP leaders to work out.

Tax reform

Tax reform is just as complicate­d as health care. Trump has called for major reforms that would slash taxes on business and the middle class. Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin has promised to come up with a plan. On Tuesday, Trump skated close to endorsing a proposal by House Speaker Paul Ryan, R-Wis., that would raise as much as $1 trillion by replacing current business taxes with a so-called border adjustment tax on imports.

The border tax is one way Trump could claim that Mexico would pay for the border wall.

But the idea is creating an uproar from the retail industry and outside conservati­ve groups. Non-retail businesses that use imported components are also balking, along with several Republican senators. Even in the House, “most of the Republican membership thinks that’s a bad idea,” said Rep. Jared Huffman, D-San Rafael. Huffman previewed the Democratic attack line against the border tax: “Once people focus on it they will realize it’s simply a tax on consumers to pay for the crazy wall,” he said.

O’Connell said Republican­s have another problem in that they must replace Obamacare before they can decide on a tax overhaul. That’s because the health care law relies on taxes to pay for expanded coverage.

Infrastruc­ture

Democrats love Trump’s $1 trillion infrastruc­ture plan to repair the nation’s roads, bridges, dams, water systems, airports, pipelines and the like. They could provide critical bipartisan support, except that there is no specific plan on what to build or how to pay for it.

Democrats oppose Trump’s idea of using tax breaks to private companies to fund constructi­on, saying that would cost taxpayers twice — once for the tax break and again for user tolls on bridges and highways. Conservati­ves don’t like the idea of spending money without cutting something else. Neither party wants to raise taxes.

Kathryn Thomson, a former top Obama administra­tion transporta­tion official, said both parties love infrastruc­ture until it comes time to fund it. She said $1 trillion would barely cover the backlog just in the transporta­tion system.

“They’ve been talking infrastruc­ture as long as I can remember now,” Thomson said. “There is broad bipartisan agreement that something needs to be done, but no leadership in Congress or the White House on exactly what the solution is. I don’t think it’s going anywhere this fiscal year.

“These are complicate­d issues. From Trump’s perspectiv­e, he likes to issue high-level edicts in the form of executive orders, but he has not signaled any inclinatio­n to be specific about how to achieve these objectives, and almost all his objectives require congressio­nal support and engagement,” Thomson said.

As the weeks tick by, the lack of progress is creating a log jam in Congress that will intensify.

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