San Francisco Chronicle

Fed doesn’t change rates

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The Federal Reserve has left interest rates unchanged while signaling that it expects a resilient U.S. economy and solid job market to justify further rate hikes later this year.

A statement the Fed issued Wednesday after its latest policy meeting noted that the economy slowed sharply during the January-March quarter but that it expects that slump to be “transitory.”

The Fed’s pause in raising rates comes after it modestly lifted its benchmark short-term rate in December and March. Most economists expect it to do so again when it next meets in mid-June.

Nearly eight years after the recession ended, the unemployme­nt rate is a low 4.5 percent. Key gauges of the economy — from home sales to consumer confidence to the stock market — appear robust. Still, consumer spending and factory output have slowed, and inflation remains below the Fed’s target rate.

The Fed is in the midst of a campaign to gradually raise interest rates from ultra-lows. One reason for it to stand pat this week is that even though the job market has shown steady strength, the economy itself is still growing in fits and starts. On Friday, the government estimated that the economy, as gauged by the gross domestic product, grew at a tepid 0.7 percent annual rate last quarter. It was the poorest quarterly performanc­e in three years.

Though some temporary factors probably held back growth last quarter and might have overstated the weakness, the poor showing underscore­d that key pockets of the economy remain sluggish. On Monday, the government said consumer spending stalled in March for a second straight month. And the Institute for Supply Management reported a drop in factory activity.

Most economists have expressed optimism that the economy is strengthen­ing in the current April-June quarter.

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