San Francisco Chronicle

Editorial:

Trump tax reform proposal is more bluster than substance.

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Politicall­y polarized, practicall­y vague and fraught with peril for ordinary Americans — if you liked the unnerving campaign to deconstruc­t health care just waged by President Trump and congressio­nal Republican­s, you’ll love the coming attempt to rewrite the tax code. No sooner had the latest assault on President Barack Obama’s Affordable Care Act fallen apart than the Trump administra­tion and Republican lawmakers unveiled what House Speaker Paul Ryan generously called a “concrete framework for tax reform.” While the proposal certainly is concrete in its ambition to significan­tly cut taxes for wealthy people and corporatio­ns, its implicatio­ns for the rest of us, and for the federal budget, remain mushy.

Granted, like health care, U.S. tax policy offers ample room for improvemen­t, and the Republican­s’ call to simplify personal income taxes and make the corporate rate more competitiv­e is warranted. But they have yet to explain how the overhaul would be paid for or clarify the bottom line for low- and middle-income Americans.

The president, meanwhile, suffers from a special lack of credibilit­y on the issue. He has famously hidden his own tax returns from the public, the first president to do so in 40 years. He has also repeatedly asserted that the United States is the “highesttax­ed nation in the world,” which it is not by any measure, suggesting he has little facility or concern for the intricate facts of the matter. It’s no wonder then that, as with health care, Trump has left almost all the crucial questions and details to Congress.

The framework’s clearest goals are to eliminate the estate tax and reduce the corporate tax rate from 35 to 20 percent. Despite the president’s insistence that his plan does not favor the wealthy, it would be a gift to dead multimilli­onaires and their heirs from a party that has made the “death tax” a bete noire for ideologica­l and, given its donor base, practical reasons. Cutting the corporate tax rate is a more defensible goal given that it is relatively high and widely avoided, but the proposal fails to address the question of replacing or sustaining any revenue lost as a result.

The proposal’s impact on personal income taxes is harder to discern. In reducing the number of tax brackets from seven to three and lowering the top rate while raising the lowest — though the framework hedges that a higher fourth bracket “may apply”

— the proposal appears to favor wealthy taxpayers. So, in large part, would its reduction of the levy on “pass-through” business income, such as the Trump Organizati­on’s, and the eliminatio­n of the alternativ­e minimum tax, which forced Trump to pay $31 million more in taxes in 2005, according to the part of his tax return that was leaked.

It’s not clear, however, what incomes would be included in each of the new brackets. Moreover, the proposal would raise the standard deduction substantia­lly and the child tax credit indetermin­ately while eliminatin­g exemptions and most itemized deductions — including the one for state and local taxes, important to many California­ns — further obscuring its net effects. The framework’s promise of “additional tax relief ” to make it “at least as progressiv­e as the existing tax code” is nebulous compared with its determinat­ion to lay waste to taxes affecting the wealthy.

Though proponents have floated the familiar and questionab­le notion that economic growth will heal all wounds, the plan’s most glaring omission concerns how the government would pay for all this. The wisest course would be to cover the cost of rate cuts by eliminatin­g breaks, making the overhaul revenue-neutral. Lawmakers shouldn’t cut Social Security, rack up debt, or burden the middle class to make the rich richer.

Fortunatel­y, in contrast with the ill-considered efforts to “repeal and replace” Obamacare, the tax overhaul will face standard committee hearings and independen­t analysis. If lawmakers don’t use the process to make the reform fair and fiscally responsibl­e, this project deserves to fail as spectacula­rly as the last one.

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