San Francisco Chronicle

Their paychecks are unreal

Experts in artificial intelligen­ce getting hefty salaries because of their scarcity

- By Cade Metz

Silicon Valley’s startups have always had a recruiting advantage over the industry’s giants: Take a chance on us and we’ll give you an ownership stake that could make you rich if the company is successful.

Now the tech industry’s race to embrace artificial intelligen­ce may render that advantage moot — at least for the few prospectiv­e employees who know a lot about AI.

Tech’s biggest companies are placing huge bets on artificial intelligen­ce, banking on things ranging from face-scanning smartphone­s and conversati­onal coffeetabl­e gadgets to computeriz­ed health care and autonomous vehicles. As they chase this future, they are doling out salaries that are startling even in an industry that has never been shy about lavishing a fortune on its top talent.

Typical AI specialist­s, including doctoral graduates fresh out of school and people with less education and just a few years of experience, can be paid from $300,000 to $500,000 a year or more in salary and company stock, according to nine people who work for major tech companies or have entertaine­d job offers from them. All requested anonymity because they did not want to damage their profession­al prospects.

Well-known names in the AI field have received compensati­on in salary and shares in a company’s stock that total single- or doubledigi­t millions over a four- or fiveyear period. And at some point they renew or negotiate a new contract, much like a profession­al athlete.

At the top end are executives with experience managing AI projects. In a court filing this year, Google revealed that one of the leaders of its self-driving-car division, Anthony Levandowsk­i, a longtime employee who started with Google in 2007, took home more than $120 million in incentives before joining Uber last year through the acquisitio­n of a startup he had co-founded that drew

the two companies into a court fight over intellectu­al property.

Salaries are spiraling up so fast that some joke the tech industry needs a National Football League-style salary cap on AI specialist­s. “That would make things easier,” said Christophe­r Fernandez, one of Microsoft’s hiring managers. “A lot easier.”

There are a few catalysts for the huge salaries. The auto industry is competing with Silicon Valley for the same experts who can help build self-driving cars. Giant tech companies like Facebook and Google also have plenty of money to throw around and problems that they think AI can help solve, like building digital assistants for smartphone­s and home gadgets and spotting offensive content.

Most of all, there is a shortage of talent, and the big companies are trying to land as much of it as they can. Solving tough AI problems is not like building the flavor-of-the-month smartphone app. In the entire world, fewer than 10,000 people have the skills necessary to tackle serious artificial intelligen­ce research, according to Element AI, an independen­t lab in Montreal.

“What we’re seeing is not necessaril­y good for society, but it is rational behavior by these companies,” said Andrew Moore, dean of computer science at Carnegie Mellon University, who previously worked at Google. “They are anxious to ensure that they’ve got this small cohort of people” who can work on this technology.

Costs at an AI lab called DeepMind, acquired by Google for a reported $650 million in 2014, when it employed about 50 people, illustrate the issue. Last year, according to the company’s recently released annual financial accounts in Britain, the lab’s “staff costs” as it expanded to 400 employees totaled $138 million. That comes out to $345,000 an employee.

“It is hard to compete with that, especially if you are one of the smaller companies,” said Jessica Cataneo, an executive recruiter at the tech recruiting firm CyberCoder­s.

The cutting edge of artificial intelligen­ce research is based on a set of mathematic­al techniques called deep neural networks. These networks are mathematic­al algorithms that can learn tasks on their own by analyzing data. By looking for patterns in millions of dog photos, for example, a neural network can learn to recognize a dog. This mathematic­al idea dates to the 1950s, but it remained on the fringes of academia and industry until about five years ago.

By 2013, Google, Facebook and a few other companies started to recruit the relatively few researcher­s who specialize­d in these techniques. Neural networks now help recognize faces in photos posted to Facebook, identify commands spoken into living-room digital assistants like the Amazon Echo and instantly translate foreign languages on Microsoft’s Skype phone service.

Using the same mathematic­al techniques, researcher­s are improving self-driving cars and developing hospital services that can identify illness and disease in medical scans, digital assistants that can not only recognize spoken words, but also understand them, automated stock-trading systems and robots that pick up objects they’ve never seen before.

With so few AI specialist­s available, big tech companies are also hiring the best and brightest of academia. In the process, they are limiting the number of professors who can teach the technology.

Uber hired 40 people from Carnegie Mellon’s groundbrea­king AI program in 2015 to work on its self-driving-car project. Over the last several years, four of the best-known AI researcher­s in academia have left or taken leave from their professors­hips at Stanford University. At the University of Washington, six of 20 artificial intelligen­ce professors are now on leave or partial leave and working for outside companies.

“There is a giant sucking sound of academics going into industry,” said Oren Etzioni, who is on leave from his position as a professor at the University of Washington to oversee the nonprofit Allen Institute for Artificial Intelligen­ce.

Some professors are finding a way to compromise. Luke Zettlemoye­r of the University of Washington turned down a position at a Google-run Seattle laboratory that he said would have paid him more than three times his current salary (about $180,000, according to public records). Instead, he chose a post at the Allen Institute that allowed him to continue teaching.

“There are plenty of faculty that do this, splitting their time in various percentage­s between industry and academia,” Zettlemoye­r said. “The salaries are so much higher in industry, people only do this because they really care about being an academian.”

To bring in new AI engineers, companies like Google and Facebook are running classes to teach deep learning and related techniques to existing employees. And nonprofits like Fast.ai and companies like Deeplearni­ng.ai, founded by a former Stanford professor who helped create the Google Brain lab, offer online courses.

The basic concepts of deep learning are not hard to grasp, requiring little more than highschool-level math. But real expertise requires more significan­t math and an intuitive talent that some call “a dark art.” Specific knowledge is needed for fields like self-driving cars, robotics and health care.

In order to keep pace, smaller companies are looking for talent in unusual places. Some are hiring physicists and astronomer­s who have the necessary math skills. Other startups from the United States are looking for workers in Asia, Eastern Europe and other locations where wages are lower.

“I can’t compete with Google, and I don’t want to,” said Chris Nicholson, chief executive and a co-founder of Skymind, a startup in San Francisco that has hired engineers in eight countries. “So I offer very attractive salaries in countries that undervalue engineerin­g talent.”

But the industry’s giants are doing much the same. Google, Facebook, Microsoft and others have opened AI labs in Toronto and Montreal, where much of this research outside the United States is being done. Google also is hiring in China, where Microsoft has long had a strong presence.

Not surprising­ly, many think the talent shortage won’t be alleviated for years.

“Of course demand outweighs supply. And things are not getting better anytime soon,” Yoshua Bengio, a professor at the University of Montreal and a prominent AI researcher, said. “It takes many years to train a Ph.D.”

Cade Metz is a New York Times writer.

 ?? Christina Chung / New York Times ??
Christina Chung / New York Times
 ?? Kyle Johnson / New York Times ?? Luke Zettlemoye­r, a professor at the University of Washington, turned down an offer from Google that would have more than tripled his salary.
Kyle Johnson / New York Times Luke Zettlemoye­r, a professor at the University of Washington, turned down an offer from Google that would have more than tripled his salary.

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