Rewards and risks of initial coin offerings
Initial coin offerings have come out of nowhere in 2017 to become the talk of Silicon Valley and Wall Street. Q: What is an initial coin offering? A: Coin offerings are a way for startups or online projects to raise money without selling stock or going to venture capitalists — essentially a new form of crowdfunding.
The programmers raise money by creating and selling their own virtual currency, generally with rules similar to well-known virtual currencies like bitcoin. The new tokens are usually designed so that they can be used only on a computing service the programmers are building.
Filecoin, which raised $257 million in the largest coin offering to date, is being designed to pay for storage on a global cloud storage network that the creators of filecoin are promising to build. BET, another coin, is being designed to serve as the chips in an online casino its programmers are promising to build.
“Promising to build” is the operative phrase here, because in almost every case the services that will supposedly make these coins valuable have not yet been finished. Q: What does this have to do with existing virtual currencies? A: These coins are generally inspired by older virtual currency systems like bitcoin or ethereum, with a cap on the number of coins that will exist — to provide a sense of gold-like scarcity — and a structure that allows them to operate entirely outside the existing financial and regulatory ecosystem.
Investors generally buy the new coins by sending the programmers bitcoin or ether (the virtual currency inside the ethereum network). What’s more, many of the coins are stored, moved around and enabled by other ethereum technology.
But the coins sold in coin offerings are meant to exist independent of bitcoin and ethereum, with their own freefloating value. Q: Is there a relation to initial public offerings of shares in a company? A: The name for coin offerings was clearly inspired by the initial public offerings that companies do to sell stock to investors. But unlike stock offerings, coin offerings are generally designed so that investors don’t get an ownership stake in the startups. If the coin does provide an ownership stake, the Securities and Exchange Commission has said, the companies must comply with all securities law. A few coins have done this, but most have tried to avoid it.
Investors can contribute as much or as little money as they want in these offerings, which are generally more like crowdfunding campaigns that new projects do on Kickstarter or Indiegogo. Q: Why would anyone pay for these coins? A: In principle, people buy these coins because they want the services for which the coin will be used. So far, though, almost none of the services have been completed. In the meantime, people are buying coins because they are hoping the value will go up. When the stratis token was released in July 2016, it was worth seven-tenths of a penny. Now, each of those tokens is trading for around $2.95, a 42,000 percent increase.
After the initial coin offering, when the programmers sell their tokens for a set price, coins are traded on third-party exchanges through open-market bidding — similar to the way stocks are traded and priced after an IPO. The programmers who created the coins generally keep a large stash of coins so that they also benefit if the price goes up.
The people betting on the price of these tokens are generally betting that the services promised by the programmers will be completed, creating demand for the coins in the future. Q: Why aren’t these startups raising money through venture capitalists? A: The most obvious reason to do a coin offering is that you can raise more money than you ever could from venture capitalists. The most valuable virtualcurrency company that was funded with venture capital, Coinbase, raised $100 million this year, five years after it was founded. The same day that was announced, creators of filecoin, who don’t even have a working product, said that they had raised more than $200 million.
Another plus: Startups that raise money through coin offerings don’t have to give away ownership of their technology to outside investors.
Some programmers look to coin offerings because they can raise money for projects that venture capital won’t fund. Specifically, coin offerings can provide funding to build opensource projects that in the end no one will own, the way that no one owns bitcoin or ethereum. filecoin’s cloud storage network, for instance, would be operated by its users rather than any central company. Q: What happens if the programmers never build what they promise? A: Investors don’t have much recourse. The most likely outcome will be that the investors will lose the money they put into the project, though people may try to sue. Q: What do real investors think of this? A: A number of prominent Silicon Valley investors have argued that coin offerings could provide a way to build open-source projects that would not have otherwise received support.
Some big names think this will lead to a new generation of opensource Internet protocols and loosen the control of big companies like Google and Facebook.
Chris Dixon, a partner at Andreessen Horowitz, has argued that “by enabling the development of new open networks, tokens could help reverse the centralization of the Internet, thereby keeping it accessible, vibrant and fair, and resulting in greater innovation.”
But even sophisticated enthusiasts believe that almost all of the companies raising money through coin offerings will fail and lose money for their investors — and probably should not happen in the first place.
“Right now, with all of the enthusiasm for crypto assets out there, I am very concerned that nobody is being careful about anything,” Fred Wilson, a partner at Union Square Ventures, wrote on his blog.