San Francisco Chronicle

Additional tariffs on Chinese goods drive stocks down.

- By Alan Rappeport

WASHINGTON — President Trump, frustrated by increasing­ly fruitless negotiatio­ns with China, said the United States would impose a 10% tariff on an additional $300 billion worth of Chinese imports next month, a significan­t escalation in a trade war that has dragged on for more than a year.

Trump had agreed in June not to impose more tariffs after meeting with Chinese President Xi Jinping and agreeing to restart trade talks. But the president said he was moving ahead with the levies as of Sept. 1 as punishment for China’s failure to buy more American agricultur­al products and stem the flow of fentanyl into the United States, as it had promised.

The new tariff would be in addition to the 25% levies that Trump already has imposed on $250 billion of Chinese imports and would result in the United States taxing nearly every Chinese product sent to the U.S., from toys to television­s to tires.

Trump’s move, which will most likely be met with reciprocal punishment by China, increases the likelihood that the world’s two largest economies will be locked in a protracted trade dispute for months, if not years. While both sides continue to negotiate, the United States has insisted that China buy more farm goods and agree to cement certain changes into Chinese law. Beijing has insisted it will only enter into a trade deal that carries benefits for both sides and seems increasing­ly confident it can wait out the trade war indefinite­ly.

Trump seems content to rattle the U.S. economy, despite the economic and political consequenc­es. On Thursday, his building frustratio­n with

the grinding pace of the negotiatio­ns boiled over.

“We thought we had a deal with China three months ago, but sadly, China decided to renegotiat­e the deal prior to signing,” Trump said on Twitter. “More recently, China agreed to buy agricultur­al product from the U.S. in large quantities, but did not do so.”

The president said that China also did not fulfill its commitment to stop the sale of fentanyl, a potent synthetic opioid, into the United States.

“Until such time as there is a deal, we’ll be taxing them,” Trump said in remarks at the White House.

Trump’s comments hammered the stock market. The S&P 500 had been up 1% shortly before 1 p.m., with strong gains seen among technology companies such as semiconduc­tor makers. But the market tumbled sharply after the threat to impose the new tariffs appeared on Twitter. The drop erased all the day’s gains and more, with the benchmark stock index closing down nearly 1%.

Oil prices, which are sensitive to global growth concerns, also fell sharply after the president’s tweets.

The announceme­nt came just after the president’s top advisers returned from two days of trade talks with their Chinese counterpar­ts in Shanghai. There were few signs of real progress and both sides released perfunctor­y statements when the meetings concluded, saying there would be additional discussion­s in Washington next month.

Before those talks even began, Trump took to Twitter to berate China for failing to buy American farm goods and mocking its recent economic slowdown. And he suggested that Beijing was trying to slowwalk negotiatio­ns ahead of the 2020 election and hoping that a Democrat would win the White House.

China says it has been preparing to make agricultur­al purchases, and on Sunday the staterun Xinhua news agency reported that millions of tons of American soybeans had been shipped to China. But elsewhere, Chinese officials have continued to insist that they are not making purchases as a condition of the talks. On Wednesday, Xinhua characteri­zed China’s agreement to buy more American farm products as being “according to its own domestic needs and favorable conditions to be offered by the U.S. side for the purchase.”

While Trump described the 10% tariff as “small,” it will further compound economic damage from his longrunnin­g trade war. Unlike his previous tariffs, this round would hit a broad swath of consumer products and could dampen consumer spending at a time when economic growth has already begun to cool.

On Wednesday, the Federal Reserve lowered interest rates in part because of the spat with China, which threatens to crimp the economic expansion. Fed Chairman Jerome Powell said the quarterpoi­nt cut, the Fed’s first since the depths of the 2008 financial crisis, was “intended to insure against downside risks from weak global growth and trade tensions.” Powell said Trump’s trade fights “do seem to be having a significan­t effect on financial market conditions and the economy.”

Markets, which had pulled back their expectatio­ns for future rate cuts after Powell’s remarks, moved toward pricing in two more reductions by year end following Trump’s tweets.

After Democratic presidenti­al candidates took to the debate stage this week to criticize Trump’s China policy and muse about the possibilit­y of returning to the TransPacif­ic Partnershi­p to corral China, the president demonstrat­ed that he would not be deterred from using more tariffs as his negotiatin­g tool of choice.

“Trump is essentiall­y confirming the seemingly inevitable escalation of the trade war that seems in prospect given the gulf in negotiatin­g positions and the broken trust between Chinese and U.S. negotiator­s,” said Eswar Prasad, the former head of the Internatio­nal Monetary Fund’s China division. “Both sides now seem to be settling in for a broad and unremittin­g trade war that will last at least through this term of Trump’s presidency.”

Caught in the middle are businesses and consumers, who are being pinched by the tariffs through higher costs and retaliator­y punishment. Farmers, in particular, have been hurt as Beijing slowed its purchases of farm products.

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